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The intensity matching approach for tractable performance evaluation and optimization of cellular networks is introduced. It assumes that the base stations are modeled as points of a Poisson point process and leverages stochastic geometry…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-04-12 Marco Di Renzo , Wei Lu , Peng Guan

Count-weighted temporal networks often exhibit unequal dispersion in the edge weights, which cannot be fully explained by modelling observational heterogeneity through latent factors in the conditional mean. Therefore, we propose new…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Antonio Peruzzi

In this paper, we introduce a new algorithm for rare event estimation based on adaptive importance sampling. We consider a smoothed version of the optimal importance sampling density, which is approximated by an ensemble of interacting…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-19 Konstantin Althaus , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

The field of complex networks studies a wide variety of interacting systems by representing them as networks. To understand their properties and mutual relations, the randomisation of network connections is a commonly used tool. However,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-18 Noam Abadi , Franco Ruzzenenti

We propose a novel class of network models for temporal dyadic interaction data. Our goal is to capture a number of important features often observed in social interactions: sparsity, degree heterogeneity, community structure and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron , Yee Whye Teh

The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of the number of independent events in a given period of time. Although the Poisson distribution appears ubiquitously in various stochastic dynamics of gene expression, both as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-02 Julian Lee

The notion of entropy is shared between statistics and thermodynamics, and is fundamental to both disciplines. This makes statistical problems particularly suitable for reaction network implementations. In this paper we show how to perform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Muppirala Viswa Virinchi , Abhishek Behera , Manoj Gopalkrishnan

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Network point processes often exhibit latent structure that govern the behaviour of the sub-processes. It is not always reasonable to assume that this latent structure is static, and detecting when and how this driving structure changes is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Joshua Corneck , Edward A. K. Cohen , James S. Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino

We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Aleksandr Simma , Michael I. Jordan

Data-based inference of directed interactions in complex dynamical systems is a problem common to many disciplines of science. In this work, we study networks of spatially separate dynamical entities, which could represent physical systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-03-15 Tim Hempel , Sarah A. M. Loos

Network estimation and variable selection have been extensively studied in the statistical literature, but only recently have those two challenges been addressed simultaneously. In this paper, we seek to develop a novel method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Nathan Osborne , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

In biophysics, the search for analytical solutions of stochastic models of cellular processes is often a challenging task. In recent work on models of gene expression, it was shown that a mapping based on partitioning of Poisson arrivals…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Hugo Tschirhart , Thierry Platini

The analysis of a protein-expression pattern from tissue microarray (TMA) data will not immediately give an answer on synergistic or antagonistic effects between the expression of the observed proteins. But contrary to apparent first…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-07 H Buerger , F Boecker , J Packeisen , K Agelopoulos , K Poos , W Nadler , E Korsching

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

To bridge the gap between idealised communication models and the stochastic reality of networked systems, we introduce a framework for embedding asynchronous communication directly into algorithm dynamics using stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Marc Weber , John Paul Strachan , Christian Ebenbauer

We consider a method to jointly estimate sparse precision matrices and their underlying graph structures using dependent high-dimensional datasets. We present a penalized maximum likelihood estimator which encourages both sparsity and…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-22 Adria Caballe , Natalia Bochkina , Claus Mayer

Structural changes in a network representation of a system (e.g.,different experimental conditions, time evolution), can provide insight on its organization, function and on how it responds to external perturbations. The deeper…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-04 Leonardo L. Portes , Michael Small

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

Optimal Causation Entropy (oCSE) is a robust causal network modeling technique that reveals causal networks from dynamical systems and coupled oscillators, distinguishing direct from indirect paths. CausationEntropy is a Python package that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Kevin Slote , Jeremie Fish , Erik Bollt