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Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

This paper details the approach of the team $\textit{Kohrrelation}$ in the 2021 Extreme Value Analysis data challenge, dealing with the prediction of wildfire counts and sizes over the contiguous US. Our approach uses ideas from…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-02 Jonathan Koh

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

Banks and financial institutions all over the world manage portfolios containing tens of thousands of customers. Not all customers are high credit-worthy, and many possess varying degrees of risk to the Bank or financial institutions that…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-17 Dominic Joseph

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

This paper aims to explore models based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) approach for business risk classification. Feature selection (FS) algorithms and hyper-parameter optimizations are simultaneously considered during model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-25 Yan Wang , Xuelei Sherry Ni

While Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift (PEAD) is one of the most studied stock market anomalies, the current literature is often limited in explaining this phenomenon by a small number of factors using simpler regression methods. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Zhengxin Joseph Ye , Bjorn W. Schuller

One of the common hazards and issues in meteorology and agriculture is the problem of frost, chilling or freezing. This event occurs when the minimum ambient temperature falls below a certain value. This phenomenon causes a lot of damage to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Milad Barooni , Koorush Ziarati , Ali Barooni

The scope for the accurate calculation of the Loss Given Default (LGD) parameter is comprehensive in terms of financial data. In this research, we aim to explore methods for improving the approximation of realized LGD in conditions of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Zuzanna Kostecka , Robert Ślepaczuk

This study focuses on the problem of credit default prediction, builds a modeling framework based on machine learning, and conducts comparative experiments on a variety of mainstream classification algorithms. Through preprocessing, feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Shiqi Yang , Ziyi Huang , Wengran Xiao , Xinyu Shen

In biostatistics, propensity score is a common approach to analyze the imbalance of covariate and process confounding covariates to eliminate differences between groups. While there are an abundant amount of methods to compute propensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-11 Chen Wang , Suzhen Wang , Fuyan Shi , Zaixiang Wang

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

Demand forecasting in supply chain management (SCM) is critical for optimizing inventory, reducing waste, and improving customer satisfaction. Conventional approaches frequently neglect external influences like weather, festivities, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Anees Fatima , Mohammad Abdus Salam

Techniques for making future predictions based upon the present and past data, has always been an area with direct application to various real life problems. We are discussing a similar problem in this paper. The problem statement is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Devendra Swami , Alay Dilipbhai Shah , Subhrajeet K B Ray

Bank credit risk is a significant challenge in modern financial transactions, and the ability to identify qualified credit card holders among a large number of applicants is crucial for the profitability of a bank'sbank's credit card…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Chang Yu , Yixin Jin , Qianwen Xing , Ye Zhang , Shaobo Guo , Shuchen Meng

This paper compares the performance of various data processing methods in terms of predictive performance for structured data. This paper also seeks to identify and recommend preprocessing methodologies for tree-based binary classification…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Tosan Johnson , Alice J. Liu , Syed Raza , Aaron McGuire

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann

This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Kaveh Bastani , Elham Asgari , Hamed Namavari

This study assessed the effectiveness of machine learning models in predicting poverty levels in the Philippines using five boosting algorithms: Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), CatBoosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Light…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Erika Lynet Salvador

In this paper, we performs a credit risk analysis, on the data of past loan applicants of a company named Lending Club. The calculation required the use of exploratory data analysis and machine learning classification algorithms, namely,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Aadi Gupta , Priya Gulati , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty