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This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Animashree Anandkumar , Kamalika Chaudhuri , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Le Song , Tong Zhang

In [8], asymptotic expansion of the martingale with mixed normal limit was provided. The expansion formula is expressed by the adjoint of a random symbol with coefficients described by the Malliavin calculus, differently from the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper studies the distribution of the component spectrum of combinatorial structures such as uniform random forests, in which the classical generating function for the numbers of (irreducible) elements of the different sizes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. D. Barbour , B. Granovsky

This work is devoted to P\'olya-Young urns, a class of periodic P\'olya urns of importance in the analysis of Young tableaux. We provide several extension of the previous results of Banderier, Marchal and Wallner [Ann. Prob. (2020)] on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Markus Kuba

Precision medicine provides customized treatments to patients based on their characteristics and is a promising approach to improving treatment efficiency. Large scale omics data are useful for patient characterization, but often their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-24 Jianchang Hu , Silke Szymczak

The cumulant expansion is used to estimate generalized Lyapunov exponents of the random-frequency harmonic oscillator. Three stochastic processes are considered: Gaussian white noise, Ornstein-Uhlenbeck, and Poisson shot noise. In some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-03 Raul Vallejos , Celia Anteneodo

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

We consider a probability measure on cycle-rooted spanning forests (CRSFs) introduced by Kenyon. CRSFs are spanning subgraphs, each connected component of which has a unique cycle; they generalize spanning trees. A generalization of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Michaël Fanuel , Rémi Bardenet

We extend the notion of the associated random walk and the Wald martingale in random walks where the increments are independent and identically distributed to the more general case of stationary ergodic increments. Examples are given where…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-24 D. R. Grey

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

More than fifty years ago, in a couple of seminal works Kubo introduced the important idea of generalized cumulants, extending to stochastic operators this concept, implicitly introduced by Laplace in 1810. Kubo's idea has been applied in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Marco Bianucci , Mauro Bologna

Given two polynomials $p(x), q(x)$ of degree $d$, we give a combinatorial formula for the finite free cumulants of $p(x)\boxtimes_d q(x)$. We show that this formula admits a topological expansion in terms of non-crossing multi-annular…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Octavio Arizmendi , Jorge Garza-Vargas , Daniel Perales

Given an ensemble of randomized regression trees, it is possible to restructure them as a collection of multilayered neural networks with particular connection weights. Following this principle, we reformulate the random forest method of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-04 Gérard Biau , Erwan Scornet , Johannes Welbl

We extend decision tree and random forest algorithms to product space manifolds: Cartesian products of Euclidean, hyperspherical, and hyperbolic manifolds. Such spaces have extremely expressive geometries capable of representing many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Philippe Chlenski , Quentin Chu , Itsik Pe'er

The random forest algorithm, proposed by L. Breiman in 2001, has been extremely successful as a general-purpose classification and regression method. The approach, which combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Gérard Biau , Erwan Scornet

We show that an algorithmic construction of sequences of recursive trees leads to a direct proof of the convergence of random recursive trees in an associated Doob-Martin compactification; it also gives a representation of the limit in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Rudolf Grübel , Igor Michailow

In surveys, the interest lies in estimating finite population parameters such as population totals and means. In most surveys, some auxiliary information is available at the estimation stage. This information may be incorporated in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

Random forests are a statistical learning technique that use bootstrap aggregation to average high-variance and low-bias trees. Improvements to random forests, such as applying Lasso regression to the tree predictions, have been proposed in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Jing Shang , James Bannon , Benjamin Haibe-Kains , Robert Tibshirani

This work studies the statistical implications of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Eliza O'Reilly

A general theory of stochastic extensive forms is developed to bridge two concepts of information flow: decision trees and refined partitions on the one side, filtrations from probability theory on the other. Instead of the traditional…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-27 E. Emanuel Rapsch