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System reliability analysis aims at computing the probability of failure of an engineering system given a set of uncertain inputs and limit state functions. Active-learning solution schemes have been shown to be a viable tool but as of yet…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-10 Maliki Moustapha , Pietro Parisi , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

In the field of reliability engineering, the Active learning reliability method combining Kriging and Monte Carlo Simulation (AK-MCS) has been developed and demonstrated to be effective in reliability analysis. However, the performance of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Wenxiong Li , Rong Geng , Suiyin Chen

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

Several methods have been proposed in the literature to solve reliability-based optimization problems, where failure probabilities are design constraints. However, few methods address the problem of life-cycle cost or risk optimization,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-09 H. M. Kroetz , M. Moustapha , A. T. Beck , B. Sudret

Optimal design under uncertainty has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows the analyst…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-13 V. Dubourg , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Sudret

Machine learning-based reliability analysis methods have shown great advancements for their computational efficiency and accuracy. Recently, many efficient learning strategies have been proposed to enhance the computational performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Lisang Zhou , Ziqian Luo , Xueting Pan

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

In reliability engineering, conventional surrogate models encounter the "curse of dimensionality" as the number of random variables increases. While the active learning Kriging surrogate approaches with high-dimensional model representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Wenxiong Li , Hanyu Liao , Suiyin Chen

Multi-fidelity Kriging model is a promising technique in surrogate-based design as it can balance the model accuracy and cost of sample preparation by fusing low- and high-fidelity data. However, the cost for building a multi-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Youwei He , Jinliang Luo

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 J. Moran A. , P. G. Morato , P. Rigo

This article proposes a Model Reference Adaptive Control (MRAC) strategy to achieve fixed-time convergence of parameter estimation and tracking errors for unknown linear time-invariant systems, without relying on the persistence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-23 Chayan Kumar Paul , Krishanu Nath , Indra Narayan Kar , Denis Efimov , Rosane Ushirobira

The goal of model reference adaptive control (MRAC) is to ensure that the trajectories of an unknown dynamical system track those of a given reference model. This is done by means of a feedback controller that adaptively changes its gains…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Jiwei Wang , Simone Baldi , Henk J. van Waarde

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems are typically evaluated under static assumptions, despite being frequently corrected through user or expert feedback in deployment. Existing evaluation protocols focus on overall accuracy and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Jihwan Bang , Seunghan Yang , Kyuhong Shim , Simyung Chang , Juntae Lee , Sungha Choi

High-dimensional complex multi-parameter problems are prevalent in engineering, exceeding the capabilities of traditional surrogate models designed for low/medium-dimensional problems. These models face the curse of dimensionality,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 Yili Zhang , Hanyan Huang , Mei Xiong , Zengquan Yao

The deployment of multimodal models in high-stakes domains, such as self-driving vehicles and medical diagnostics, demands not only strong predictive performance but also reliable mechanisms for detecting failures. In this work, we address…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Moru Liu , Hao Dong , Olga Fink , Mario Trapp

Structural reliability methods aim at computing the probability of failure of systems with respect to some prescribed performance functions. In modern engineering such functions usually resort to running an expensive-to-evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-10 V. Dubourg , F. Deheeger , B. Sudret

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

Recent thinking models solve complex reasoning tasks by scaling test-time compute, but this scaling must be allocated in line with task difficulty. On one hand, short reasoning (underthinking) leads to errors on harder problems that require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Joykirat Singh , Justin Chih-Yao Chen , Archiki Prasad , Elias Stengel-Eskin , Akshay Nambi , Mohit Bansal

Computer experiments have become an indispensable alternative to complex physical and engineering experiments. The Kriging model is the most widely used surrogate model, with the core goal of minimizing the discrepancy between the surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ruonan Zheng , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou , Xuan Chen
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