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Related papers: Probabilistic State Estimation in Water Networks

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We consider the problem of state estimation in dynamical systems and propose a different mechanism for handling unmodeled system uncertainties. Instead of injecting random process noise, we assign different weights to measurements so that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-08 Yaron Shulami , Daniel Sigalov

We present a method for joint state and parameter estimation for natural gas networks where gas pressures and flows through a network of pipes depend on time-varying injections, withdrawals, and compression controls. The estimation is posed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-13 Kaarthik Sundar , Anatoly Zlotnik

This research leverages Conformal Prediction (CP) in the form of Conformal Predictive Systems (CPS) to accurately estimate uncertainty in a suite of machine learning (ML)-based radio metric models [1] as well as in a 2-D map-based ML path…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Alexis Bose , Jonathan Ethier , Ryan G. Dempsey , Yifeng Qiu

This letter proposes a new method for joint state and parameter estimation in uncertain dynamical systems. We exploit the partial errors-in-variables (PEIV) principle and formulate a regression problem in the sense of weighted total least…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Peng Liu , Kailai Li , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson

The ever-increasing deployment of distributed resources and the opportunities offered to loads for more active roles has changed the previously unidirectional and relatively straight-forward operating profile of distribution systems (DS).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-07 Panayiotis Moutis , Omid Alizadeh-Mousavi

Estimating the uncertainty in deep neural network predictions is crucial for many real-world applications. A common approach to model uncertainty is to choose a parametric distribution and fit the data to it using maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Ali Harakeh , Jordan Hu , Naiqing Guan , Steven L. Waslander , Liam Paull

We present an open-source solution for the operational control of drinking water distribution networks which accounts for the inherent uncertainty in water demand and electricity prices in the day-ahead market of a volatile deregulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Pantelis Sopasakis , Ajay K. Sampathirao , Alberto Bemporad , Panagiotis Patrinos

Natural gas consumption by users of pipeline networks is subject to increasing uncertainty that originates from the intermittent nature of electric power loads serviced by gas-fired generators. To enable computationally efficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Saif R. Kazi , Sidhant Misra , Svetlana Tokareva , Kaarthik Sundar , Anatoly Zlotnik

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

We propose a framework for integrating optimal power flow (OPF) with state estimation (SE) in the loop for distribution networks. Our approach combines a primal-dual gradient-based OPF solver with a SE feedback loop based on a limited set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Yi Guo , Xinyang Zhou , Changhong Zhao , Lijun Chen , Tyler H. Summers

Uncertainty quantification for full-waveform inversion provides a probabilistic characterization of the ill-conditioning of the problem, comprising the sensitivity of the solution with respect to the starting model and data noise. This…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-04-20 Gabrio Rizzuti , Ali Siahkoohi , Philipp A. Witte , Felix J. Herrmann

Most inverse problems from physical sciences are formulated as PDE-constrained optimization problems. This involves identifying unknown parameters in equations by optimizing the model to generate PDE solutions that closely match measured…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Qin Li , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

Distributed sensor networks often include a multitude of sensors, each measuring parts of a process state space or observing the operations of a system. Communication of measurements between the sensor nodes and estimator(s) cannot…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Sanjay Chandrasekaran , Vishnu Varadan , Siva Vignesh Krishnan , Florian Dörfler , Mohammad H. Mamduhi

Motivated by oceanographic observational datasets, we propose a probabilistic neural network (PNN) model for calculating turbulent energy dissipation rates from vertical columns of velocity and density gradients in density stratified…

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

Distributed state estimation (DSE) is considered as a more robust and reliable alternative for centralized state estimation (CSE) in power system. Especially, taking into account the future power grid, so called smart grid in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-12 Sajjad Asefi , Elena Gryazina , Helder Leite

Accurate platform localization is an integral component of most robotic systems. As these robotic systems become more ubiquitous, it is necessary to develop robust state estimation algorithms that are able to withstand novel and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Ryan M. Watson , Jason N. Gross , Clark N. Taylor , Robert C. Leishman

This paper presents a new robust fault and state estimation based on recursive least square filter for linear stochastic systems with unknown disturbances. The novel elements of the algorithm are : a simple, easily implementable, square…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Bessaoudi Talel , Ben Hmida Fayçal

Accurate precipitation forecasts are crucial for applications such as flood management, agricultural planning, water resource allocation, and weather warnings. Despite advances in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, they still…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-02 Simone Monaco , Luca Monaco , Daniele Apiletti