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For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-25 Amita Gajewar , Gagan Bansal

Many planning and decision activities in logistics and supply chain management are based on forecasts of multiple time dependent factors. Therefore, the quality of planning depends on the quality of the forecasts. We compare various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-07 Lena Schmid , Moritz Roidl , Markus Pauly

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

In a variety of business situations, the introduction or improvement of machine learning approaches is impaired as these cannot draw on existing analytical models. However, in many cases similar problems may have already been solved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Robin Hirt , Niklas Kühl , Yusuf Peker , Gerhard Satzger

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Time-series forecasts play a critical role in business planning. However, forecasters typically optimize objectives that are agnostic to downstream business goals and thus can produce forecasts misaligned with business preferences. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Helen Zhou , Sercan O. Arik , Jingtao Wang

This paper tackles challenges in pricing and revenue projections due to consumer uncertainty. We propose a novel data-based approach for firms facing unknown consumer type distributions. Unlike existing methods, we assume firms only observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Duarte Gonçalves , Bruno A. Furtado

In this study, we introduced various statistical performance metrics, based on the pinball loss and the empirical coverage, for the ranking of probabilistic forecasting models. We tested the ability of the proposed metrics to determine the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-28 Tomasz Serafin , Bartosz Uniejewski

Financial forecasting is challenging and attractive in machine learning. There are many classic solutions, as well as many deep learning based methods, proposed to deal with it yielding encouraging performance. Stock time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Tao Ma

Predicting the outcome of sales opportunities is a core part of successful business management. Conventionally, making this prediction has relied mostly on subjective human evaluations in the process of sales decision making. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Alireza Rezazadeh

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

Data-driven modeling based on machine learning (ML) is showing enormous potential for weather forecasting. Rapid progress has been made with impressive results for some applications. The uptake of ML methods could be a game-changer for the…

We distinguished between the expected and actual profit of a firm. We proposed that, beyond maximizing profit, a firm's goal also encompasses minimizing the gap between expected and actual profit. Firms strive to enhance their capability to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Da Xie , WeiGuo Yang

In response to the growing demand for accurate demand forecasts, this research proposes a generalized automated sales forecasting pipeline tailored for small- to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Unlike large corporations with dedicated data…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Thomas Gaertner , Christoph Lippert , Stefan Konigorski

Classifying forecasting methods as being either of a "machine learning" or "statistical" nature has become commonplace in parts of the forecasting literature and community, as exemplified by the M4 competition and the conclusion drawn by…

Cash management is concerned with optimizing the short-term funding requirements of a company. To this end, different optimization strategies have been proposed to minimize costs using daily cash flow forecasts as the main input to the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-16 Francisco Salas-Molina , Francisco J. Martin , Juan A. Rodríguez-Aguilar , Joan Serrà , Josep Ll. Arcos

Call centers' managers are interested in obtaining accurate point and distributional forecasts of call arrivals in order to achieve an optimal balance between service quality and operating costs. We present a strategy for selecting forecast…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-24 Andrea Bastianin , Marzio Galeotti , Matteo Manera

It is a common misconception that in order to make consistent profits as a trader, one needs to posses some extra information leading to an asset value estimation more accurate than that reflected by the current market price. While the idea…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Ondřej Hubáček , Gustav Šír

Strategic planning in a corporate environment is often based on experience and intuition, although internal data is usually available and can be a valuable source of information. Predicting merger & acquisition (M&A) events is at the heart…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-26 Kainat Khowaja , Danial Saef , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Time series data is being used everywhere, from sales records to patients' health evolution metrics. The ability to deal with this data has become a necessity, and time series analysis and forecasting are used for the same. Every Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Rameshwar Garg , Shriya Barpanda , Girish Rao Salanke N S , Ramya S
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