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Traffic prediction is necessary not only for management departments to dispatch vehicles but also for drivers to avoid congested roads. Many traffic forecasting methods based on deep learning have been proposed in recent years, and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Jichen Wang , Weiguo Zhu , Yongqi Sun , Chunzi Tian

We propose a high-order stochastic-statistical moment closure model for efficient ensemble prediction of leading-order statistical moments and probability density functions in multiscale complex turbulent systems. The statistical moment…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

We present the Physics-Informed Long Short-Term Memory (PI-LSTM) network to reconstruct and predict the evolution of unmeasured variables in a chaotic system. The training is constrained by a regularization term, which penalizes solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

As deep neural networks continue to revolutionize various application domains, there is increasing interest in making these powerful models more understandable and interpretable, and narrowing down the causes of good and bad predictions. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-21 Viktoriya Krakovna , Finale Doshi-Velez

The identification of the governing equations of chaotic dynamical systems from data has recently emerged as a hot topic. While the seminal work by Brunton et al. reported proof-of-concepts for idealized observation setting for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper develops an approach for multi-step forecasting of dynamical systems by integrating probabilistic input forecasting with physics-informed output prediction. Accurate multi-step forecasting of time series systems is important for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Mahdi Nasiri , Johanna Kortelainen , Simo Särkkä

This paper investigates an optimal integration of deep learning with financial models for robust asset price forecasting. Specifically, we developed a hybrid framework combining a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with the Merton-L\'evy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

A wide range of implicit time integration methods, including multi-step, implicit Runge-Kutta, and Galerkin finite-time element schemes, is evaluated in the context of chaotic dynamical systems. The schemes are applied to solve the Lorenz…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-01-02 Viktoriya Morozova , James G. Coder , Kevin Holst

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) combined with Gaussian Process (GP) emission can be effectively used to estimate the hidden state with a sequence of complex input-output relational observations. Especially when the spectral mixture (SM) kernel is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Yohan Jung , Jinkyoo Park

This paper presents a novel hybrid model that integrates long-short-term memory (LSTM) networks and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to significantly enhance the accuracy of stock market predictions. The LSTM component adeptly captures temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Meet Satishbhai Sonani , Atta Badii , Armin Moin

This paper develops a new deep learning algorithm to solve a class of finite-horizon mean-field games. The proposed hybrid algorithm uses Markov chain approximation method combined with a stochastic approximation-based iterative deep…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-12 Yu Zhang , Zhuo Jin , Jiaqin Wei , George Yin

Poor air quality has become an increasingly critical challenge for many metropolitan cities, which carries many catastrophicphysical and mental consequences on human health and quality of life. However, accurately monitoring and forecasting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-03 Qi Zhang , Jacqueline CK Lam , Victor OK Li , Yang Han

Most real-world datasets, and particularly those collected from physical systems, are full of noise, packet loss, and other imperfections. However, most specification mining, anomaly detection and other such algorithms assume, or even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Ilia Sucholutsky , Apurva Narayan , Matthias Schonlau , Sebastian Fischmeister

Machine learning has made important headway in helping to improve the treatment of quantum many-body systems. A domain of particular relevance are correlated inhomogeneous systems. What has been missing so far is a general, scalable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-10 Alex Blania , Sandro Herbig , Fabian Dechent , Evert van Nieuwenburg , Florian Marquardt

This paper presents a deep machine learning architecture, the "polyharmonic cascade" -- a sequence of packages of polyharmonic splines, where each layer is rigorously derived from the theory of random functions and the principles of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Yuriy N. Bakhvalov

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

We investigate nonlinear prediction/regression in an online setting and introduce a hybrid model that effectively mitigates, via a joint mechanism through a state space formulation, the need for domain-specific feature engineering issues of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-20 Mustafa E. Aydın , Arda Fazla , Suleyman S. Kozat