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This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

We introduce the use of a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) for influenza prediction at the state- and city-level in the US, and experiment with the inclusion of real-time flu-related Internet search data. We find that a GRU has lower prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Emily L. Aiken , Andre T. Nguyen , Mauricio Santillana

Clinical practice in psychiatry is burdened with the increased demand for healthcare services and the scarce resources available. New paradigms of health data powered with machine learning techniques could open the possibility to improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Juan Sebastian Canas , Francisco Gomez , Omar Costilla-Reyes

We study the following problem: given a labeled dataset and a specific datapoint x, how did the i-th feature influence the classification for x? We identify a family of numerical influence measures - functions that, given a datapoint x,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Jakub Sliwinski , Martin Strobel , Yair Zick

This paper presents a statistical analysis of air temperature data from 32 stations in Italy and the UK up to 2000 m above sea level, from 2002 to 2021. The data came from both highland and lowland areas, in order to evaluate both the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-27 Chalachew Muluken Liyew , Elvira Di Nardo , Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris

Traditional psychological models of belief revision focus on face-to-face interactions, but with the rise of social media, more effective models are needed to capture belief revision at scale, in this rich text-based online discourse. Here,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Gia Bao Hoang , Keith J Ransom , Rachel Stephens , Carolyn Semmler , Nicolas Fay , Lewis Mitchell

Seasonal influenza infects between 10 and 50 million people in the United States every year, overburdening hospitals during weeks of peak incidence. Named by the CDC as an important tool to fight the damaging effects of these epidemics,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Thomas McAndrew , Nicholas G. Reich

Socioeconomic inequalities significantly influence infectious disease outcomes, as seen with COVID-19, but the pathways through which socioeconomic conditions affect transmission dynamics remain unclear. To address this, we conducted a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-31 Michele Tizzani , Laetitia Gauvin

It is well-established that human activity is driving extreme weather patterns, and that these extreme events influence human behaviour. However, few models allow for human behaviours and the climate to dynamically interact. The models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-01 Sarah K. Wyse , Eric Foxall , Rebecca C. Tyson

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Choice decisions made by users of online applications can suffer from biases due to the users' level of engagement. For instance, low engagement users may make random choices with no concern for the quality of items offered. This biased…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-30 Zhengli Wang , Tauhid Zaman

Understanding the factors that impact how a communicable disease like COVID-19 spreads is of central importance to mitigate future outbreaks. Traditionally, epidemic surveillance and forecasting analyses have focused on epidemiological data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-17 Léo Meynent , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann , Benjamin F. Maier

In this work, we contribute the first visual open-source empirical study on human behaviour during the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to investigate how compliant a general population is to mask-wearing-related public-health policy.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-23 Yuxi Heluo , Kexin Wang , Charles W. Robson

Physiological signals can potentially be applied as objective measures to understand the behavior and engagement of users interacting with information access systems. However, the signals are highly sensitive, and many controls are required…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Kaixin Ji , Damiano Spina , Danula Hettiachchi , Flora Dilys Salim , Falk Scholer

In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

We develop here a data-driven approach for disease recognition based on given symptoms, to be efficient tool for anomaly detection. In a clinical setting and when presented with a patient with a combination of traits, a doctor may wonder if…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Abd AlRahman AlMomani , Erik Bollt

Seasonal variations in the incidence of infectious diseases are a well-established phenomenon, driven by factors such as climate changes, social behaviors, and ecological interactions that influence host susceptibility and transmission…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-23 Mahmudul Bari Hridoy

This paper focuses on the recommendation of events in the Social Web, and addresses the problem of finding if, and to which extent, certain features, which are peculiar to events, are relevant in predicting the users' interests and should…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2014-07-02 Federica Cena , Silvia Likavec , Ilaria Lombardi , Claudia Picardi

The widespread adoption of social media has heightened interest in its psychological effects, particularly on mental health indicators such as anxiety, depression, loneliness, and sleep quality, as these platforms increasingly influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Md All Shahria , Sanjeda Dewan Mithila , Touhid Alam , Mohammad Sakib Mahmood , Mahfuza Khatun

Facial expression-based human emotion recognition is a critical research area in psychology and medicine. State-of-the-art classification performance is only reached by end-to-end trained neural networks. Nevertheless, such black-box models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Tim Büchner , Niklas Penzel , Orlando Guntinas-Lichius , Joachim Denzler