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This article describes a new method for estimating weekly incidence (new onset) of symptoms consistent with Influenza and COVID-19, using data from the Flutracking survey. The method mitigates some of the known self-selection and…

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring purposes, data on severe cases of influenza in England are…

In this work, we aim to formalize a novel scientific machine learning framework to reconstruct the hidden dynamics of the transmission rate, whose inaccurate extrapolation can significantly impair the quality of the epidemic forecasts, by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Giovanni Ziarelli , Stefano Pagani , Nicola Parolini , Francesco Regazzoni , Marco Verani

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

The seasonality of respiratory diseases (common cold, influenza, etc.) is a well-known phenomenon studied from ancient times. The development of predictive models is still not only an actual unsolved problem of mathematical epidemiology but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-28 Eugene B. Postnikov , Dmitry V. Tatarenkov

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

A central challenge in every field of biology is to use existing measurements to predict the outcomes of future experiments. In this work, we consider the wealth of antibody inhibition data against variants of the influenza virus. Due to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-27 Tal Einav , Rong Ma

The accurate forecasting of infectious epidemic diseases such as influenza is a crucial task undertaken by medical institutions. Although numerous flu forecasting methods and models based mainly on historical flu activity data and online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Taichi Murayama , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

The seasonal human influenza virus undergoes rapid evolution, leading to significant changes in circulating viral strains from year to year. These changes are typically driven by adaptive mutations, particularly in the antigenic epitopes,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-28 Matthijs Meijers , Denis Ruchnewitz , Jan Eberhardt , Malancha Karmakar , Marta Łuksza , Michael Lässig

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

Laboratory models are often used to understand the interaction of related pathogens via host immunity. For example, recent experiments where ferrets were exposed to two influenza strains within a short period of time have shown how the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-06 Ada W. C. Yan , Sophie G. Zaloumis , Julie A. Simpson , James M. McCaw

The last decade saw the advent of increasingly realistic epidemic models that leverage on the availability of highly detailed census and human mobility data. Data-driven models aim at a granularity down to the level of households or single…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-08-10 Nicola Perra , Duygu Balcan , Bruno Gonçalves , Alessandro Vespignani

Smart meter data analysis can provide insights into residential electricity consumption behaviors. Seasonal variation in consumption is not well understood but yet important to utilities for energy pricing and services. This paper aims to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-03 Zhenyu Wang , Hao Wang

Severe acute respiratory disease SARS-CoV-2 has had a found impact on public health systems and healthcare emergency response especially with respect to making decisions on the most effective measures to be taken at any given time. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Charithea Stylianides , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios