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This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

Detecting anomalous time series is key for scientific, medical and industrial tasks, but is challenging due to its inherent unsupervised nature. In recent years, progress has been made on this task by learning increasingly more complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Yedid Hoshen

Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

We propose a modified weighted Nadaraya-Watson estimator for the conditional distribution of a time series with heavy tails. We establish the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Simulation study is carried out to assess the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Deemat C Mathew , Hareesh G , Sudheesh , K Kattumannil

Deep generative models for anomaly detection in multivariate time-series are typically trained by maximizing data likelihood. However, likelihood in observation space measures marginal density rather than conformity to structured temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Eliezer de Souza da Silva , Iñigo Urteaga

Time-series anomaly detection, which detects errors and failures in a workflow, is one of the most important topics in real-world applications. The purpose of time-series anomaly detection is to reduce potential damages or losses. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Jinsung Jeon , Jaehyeon Park , Sewon Park , Jeongwhan Choi , Minjung Kim , Noseong Park

Several techniques for multivariate time series anomaly detection have been proposed recently, but a systematic comparison on a common set of datasets and metrics is lacking. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Astha Garg , Wenyu Zhang , Jules Samaran , Savitha Ramasamy , Chuan-Sheng Foo

Anomaly detection is crucial in industrial applications for identifying rare and unseen patterns to ensure system reliability. Traditional models, trained on a single class of normal data, struggle with real-world distributions where normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-07 Jungi Lee , Jungkwon Kim , Chi Zhang , Sangmin Kim , Kwangsun Yoo , Seok-Joo Byun

Anomaly subsequence detection is to detect inconsistent data, which always contains important information, among time series. Due to the high dimensionality of the time series, traditional anomaly detection often requires a large time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Chunkai Zhang , Yingyang Chen , Ao Yin

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Anomalies (unusual patterns) in time-series data give essential, and often actionable information in critical situations. Examples can be found in such fields as healthcare, intrusion detection, finance, security and flight safety. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-17 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladislav Ishimtsev

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

Anomaly Detection in multivariate time series is a major problem in many fields. Due to their nature, anomalies sparsely occur in real data, thus making the task of anomaly detection a challenging problem for classification algorithms to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Anastasios Iliopoulos , John Violos , Christos Diou , Iraklis Varlamis

Time series anomaly detection has garnered considerable attention across diverse domains. While existing methods often fail to capture the underlying mechanisms behind anomaly generation in time series data. In addition, time series anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yutong Xia , Yingying Zhang , Yuxuan Liang , Lunting Fan , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann

Since with massive data growth, the need for autonomous and generic anomaly detection system is increased. However, developing one stand-alone generic anomaly detection system that is accurate and fast is still a challenge. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Sooyeon Lee , Huy Kang Kim

This paper considers the graph signal processing problem of anomaly detection in time series of graphs. We examine two related, complementary inference tasks: the detection of anomalous graphs within a time series, and the detection of…

It has been shown that some macroeconomic time series, especially those where outliers could be present, can be well modelled using heavy tailed distributions for the noise components. Methods for deciding when and where heavy-tailed models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 J. A. D. Aston

The task of detecting anomalous data patterns is as important in practical applications as challenging. In the context of spatial data, recognition of unexpected trajectories brings additional difficulties, such as high dimensionality and…

Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-05 William Herlands , Edward McFowland , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Daniel B. Neill
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