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Variational inference (VI) is a computationally efficient and scalable methodology for approximate Bayesian inference. It strikes a balance between accuracy of uncertainty quantification and practical tractability. It excels at generative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Alex Glyn-Davies , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , O. Deniz Akyildiz , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Mark Girolami

Forensic science often involves the comparison of crime-scene evidence to a known-source sample to determine if the evidence and the reference sample came from the same source. Even as forensic analysis tools become increasingly objective…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Amanda Luby , Anjali Mazumder , Brian Junker

In a recent review, Liu, Pek, & Maydeu-Olivares (2025b) classified reliability coefficients into two types: classical test theory (CTT) reliability and proportional reduction in mean squared error (PRMSE). This article focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Youjin Sung , Yang Liu

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

The development of novel platforms and techniques for emerging "Big Data" applications requires the availability of real-life datasets for data-driven experiments, which are however out of reach for academic research in most cases as they…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-10-16 Domenico Sacca' , Edoardo Serra , Pietro Dicosta , Antonio Piccolo

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) are an important class of cognitive models used to analyze both response time and response choice data recorded from decision-making tasks. Developments in estimation procedures have helped EAMs become…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-01 Viet Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) is a widely used, efficient test mode that adapts to the examinee's proficiency level in the test domain. CAT requires pre-trained item profiles, for CAT iteratively assesses the student real-time based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Soonwoo Kwon , Sojung Kim , Seunghyun Lee , Jin-Young Kim , Suyeong An , Kyuseok Kim

Reading comprehension is a key for individual success, yet the assessment of question difficulty remains challenging due to the extensive human annotation and large-scale testing required by traditional methods such as linguistic analysis…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Yoshee Jain , John Hollander , Amber He , Sunny Tang , Liang Zhang , John Sabatini

Selectivity estimation aims at estimating the number of database objects that satisfy a selection criterion. Answering this problem accurately and efficiently is essential to many applications, such as density estimation, outlier detection,…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Yaoshu Wang , Chuan Xiao , Jianbin Qin , Rui Mao , Onizuka Makoto , Wei Wang , Rui Zhang , Yoshiharu Ishikawa

In computerized adaptive testing (CAT), items (questions) are selected in real time based on the already observed responses, so that the ability of the examinee can be estimated as accurately as possible. This is typically formulated as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Shiyu Wang , Georgios Fellouris , Hua-Hua Chang

Evidence accumulation models (EAMs) are the dominant framework for modeling response time (RT) data from speeded decision-making tasks. While providing a good quantitative description of RT data in terms of abstract perceptual…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-10 Paul I. Jaffe , Gustavo X. Santiago-Reyes , Robert J. Schafer , Patrick G. Bissett , Russell A. Poldrack

Variational inference (VI) is a specific type of approximate Bayesian inference that approximates an intractable posterior distribution with a tractable one. VI casts the inference problem as an optimization problem, more specifically, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Felix Leibfried

An increasing number of applications require real-time reasoning under uncertainty with streaming input. The temporal (dynamic) Bayes net formalism provides a powerful representational framework for such applications. However, existing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Masami Takikawa , Bruce D'Ambrosio , Ed Wright

Research on the test structure of the Force Concept Inventory (FCI) has largely been performed with exploratory methods such as factor analysis and cluster analysis. Multi-Dimensional Item Response Theory (MIRT) provides an alternative to…

Physics Education · Physics 2018-06-20 John Stewart , Cabot Zabriskie , Seth DeVore , Gay Stewart

One of the primary goals of statistical precision medicine is to learn optimal individualized treatment rules (ITRs). The classification-based, or machine learning-based, approach to estimating optimal ITRs was first introduced in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-18 Sophia Yazzourh , Nikki L. B. Freeman

Variational Bayes (VB) is a popular estimation method for Bayesian inference. However, most existing VB algorithms are restricted to cases where the likelihood is tractable, which precludes their use in many important situations. Tran et…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 David Gunawan , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn

In recent years, XAI researchers have been formalizing proposals and developing new methods to explain black box models, with no general consensus in the community on which method to use to explain these models, with this choice being…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-04 José Ribeiro , Lucas Cardoso , Raíssa Silva , Vitor Cirilo , Níkolas Carneiro , Ronnie Alves

In this paper, we present a Bayesian view on model-based reinforcement learning. We use expert knowledge to impose structure on the transition model and present an efficient learning scheme based on variational inference. This scheme is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

BCART (Bayesian Classification and Regression Trees) and BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) are popular Bayesian regression models widely applicable in modern regression problems. Their popularity is intimately tied to the ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-19 Matthew T. Pratola , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

This paper introduces a Bayesian approach to improve Interactive Voice Response (IVR) authentication processes used by financial institutions. Traditional IVR systems authenticate users through a static sequence of credentials, assuming…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Jingrong Xie , Yumin Li