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In subgroup analysis, testing the existence of a subgroup with a differential treatment effect serves as protection against spurious subgroup discovery. Despite its importance, this hypothesis testing possesses a complicated nature:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Shota Takeishi

Testing to see whether a given data set comes from some specified distribution is among the oldest types of problems in Statistics. Many such tests have been developed and their performance studied. The general result has been that while a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Wolfgang Rolke

The classical concept of bounded completeness and its relation to sufficiency and ancillarity play a fundamental role in unbiased estimation, unbiased testing, and the validity of inference in the presence of nuisance parameters. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Marc Hallin , Bas Werker , Bo Zhou

We consider the problem of detecting causal relationships between discrete time series, in the presence of potential confounders. A hypothesis test is introduced for identifying the temporally causal influence of $(x_n)$ on $(y_n)$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 A. Theocharous , G. G. Gregoriou , P. Sapountzis , I. Kontoyiannis

We propose a framework for testing the homogeneity of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across multiple experimental and observational studies. Our approach leverages multiple randomized trials to assess whether treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-25 Ana Armendariz , Martin Huber

Estimating causal effects is particularly challenging when outcomes arise in complex, non-Euclidean spaces, where conventional methods often fail to capture meaningful structural variation. We develop a framework for topological causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Kwangho Kim , Hajin Lee

In this article we estimate confidence regions of the common measures of (baseline, treatment effect) in observational studies, where the measure of baseline is baseline risk or baseline odds while the measure of treatment effect is odds…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-22 Li Yin , Xiaoqin Wang

The ability to predict individualized treatment effects (ITEs) based on a given patient's profile is essential for personalized medicine. We propose a hypothesis testing approach to choosing between two potential treatments for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Tianxi Cai , Tony Cai , Zijian Guo

Current approaches to A/B testing in networks focus on limiting interference, the concern that treatment effects can "spill over" from treatment nodes to control nodes and lead to biased causal effect estimation. Prominent methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

We consider a test for the hypothesis that the within-treatment variance component in a one-way random effects model is null. This test is based on a decomposition of a $U$-statistic. Its asymptotic null distribution is derived under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Juvêncio S. Nobre , Julio M. Singer , Mervyn J. Silvapulle

Causal inference in completely randomized treatment-control studies with binary outcomes is discussed from Fisherian, Neymanian and Bayesian perspectives, using the potential outcomes framework. A randomization-based justification of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-13 Peng Ding , Tirthankar Dasgupta

Clinical trials assessing neurological treatment are challenging due to the diversity of brain function, and the difficulty in quantifying it. Traditional treatment studies in epilepsy use seizure frequency as the primary outcome measure,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Ian Miller , Ann Hyslop , Colin Decker

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Nonparametric generalized likelihood ratio test is popularly used for model checking for regressions. However, there are two issues that may be the barriers for its powerfulness. First, the bias term in its liming null distribution causes…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-23 Cuizhen Niu , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Randomization tests deliver exact finite-sample Type 1 error control when the null satisfies the randomization hypothesis. In practice, achieving these guarantees often requires stronger conditions than the null hypothesis of primary…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-03 Deniz Dutz , Xinyi Zhang

Binary endpoints are common in clinical trials and conditional odds ratios have traditionally been used to assess treatment effects. However, the interpretation of odds ratios is difficult, they are non-collapsible and rely on strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Martin Schnuerch , Alex Ocampo , Klaus Kähler Holst , Christian Stock

For a multivariate linear model, Wilk's likelihood ratio test (LRT) constitutes one of the cornerstone tools. However, the computation of its quantiles under the null or the alternative requires complex analytic approximations and more…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Z. Bai , D. Jiang , J. Yao , S. Zheng

The likelihood ratio test (LRT) is widely used for comparing the relative fit of nested latent variable models. Following Wilks' theorem, the LRT is conducted by comparing the LRT statistic with its asymptotic distribution under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki , Haoran Zhang

Generalizing treatment effects from a randomized trial to a target population requires the assumption that potential outcome distributions are invariant across populations after conditioning on observed covariates. This assumption fails…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal , Cole Beck , Jared D. Huling

Null hypothesis statistical significance testing (NHST) is the dominant approach for evaluating results from randomized controlled trials. Whereas NHST comes with long-run error rate guarantees, its main inferential tool -- the $p$-value --…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-10 František Bartoš , Samuel Pawel , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
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