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The detection and analysis of events within massive collections of time-series has become an extremely important task for time-domain astronomy. In particular, many scientific investigations (e.g. the analysis of microlensing and other…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-22 Alexander W Blocker , Pavlos Protopapas

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

Event datasets are sequences of events of various types occurring irregularly over the time-line, and they are increasingly prevalent in numerous domains. Existing work for modeling events using conditional intensities rely on either using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Tian Gao , Dharmashankar Subramanian , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Nicholas Mattei

Time series analysis has achieved great success in diverse applications such as network security, environmental monitoring, and medical informatics. Learning similarities among different time series is a crucial problem since it serves as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Shaoyu Dou , Kai Yang , Yang Jiao , Chengbo Qiu , Kui Ren

This paper introduces a new methodology for detecting anomalies in time series data, with a primary application to monitoring the health of (micro-) services and cloud resources. The main novelty in our approach is that instead of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-31 Fadhel Ayed , Lorenzo Stella , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus

Modern health data science applications leverage abundant molecular and electronic health data, providing opportunities for machine learning to build statistical models to support clinical practice. Time-to-event analysis, also called…

In many applications, it is often of practical and scientific interest to detect anomaly events in a streaming sequence of high-dimensional or non-Euclidean observations. We study a non-parametric framework that utilizes nearest neighbor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Repeated observations have become increasingly common in biomedical research and longitudinal studies. For instance, wearable sensor devices are deployed to continuously track physiological and biological signals from each individual over…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-25 Jingru Zhang , Kathleen R. Merikangas , Hongzhe Li , Haochang Shou

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

We present a new statistical test that examines the consistency of the tails of two empirical distributions at multiple thresholds. Such distributions are often encountered in counting experiments, in physics and elsewhere, where the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-11-06 Ryan Lynch , Salvatore Vitale , Erik Katsavounidis

Vehicular sensor data consists of multiple time-series arising from a number of sensors. Using such multi-sensor data we would like to detect occurrences of specific events that vehicles encounter, e.g., corresponding to particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Ehtesham Hassan , Gautam Shroff , Puneet Agarwal

Change point detection in time series aims to identify moments when the probability distribution of time series changes. It is widely applied in many areas, such as human activity sensing and medical science. In the context of multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shanyun Gao , Raghavendra Addanki , Tong Yu , Ryan A. Rossi , Murat Kocaoglu

Symbolic transfer entropy is a powerful non-parametric tool to detect lead-lag between time series. Because a closed expression of the distribution of Transfer Entropy is not known for finite-size samples, statistical testing is often…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

We introduce a new version of dynamic time warping for samples of observed event times that are modeled as time-warped intensity processes. Our approach is devel- oped within a framework where for each experimental unit or subject in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-07 Ana Arribas-Gil , Hans-Georg Müller

We consider a two-sample hypothesis testing problem, where the distributions are defined on the space of undirected graphs, and one has access to only one observation from each model. A motivating example for this problem is comparing the…

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

Continuous-time event sequences represent discrete events occurring in continuous time. Such sequences arise frequently in real-life. Usually we expect the sequences to follow some regular pattern over time. However, sometimes these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Siqi Liu , Milos Hauskrecht