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The reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding method is a recently introduced estimation approach that seeks to identify the unknown or uncertain function in the governing equations of a nonlinear set of ordinary differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Jia Guo , Sai Tej Paruchuri , Andrew J. Kurdila

Accurate energy demand forecasting is crucial for sustainable and resilient energy development. To meet the Net Zero Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) $4.5$ scenario in the DACH countries, increased renewable energy production,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Luca Pernigo , Rohan Sen , Davide Baroli

A probability density function (pdf) encodes the entire stochastic knowledge about data distribution, where data may represent stochastic observations in robotics, transition state pairs in reinforcement learning or any other empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Dmitry Kopitkov , Vadim Indelman

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

We present a new regression model for the determination of parton distribution functions (PDF) using techniques inspired from deep learning projects. In the context of the NNPDF methodology, we implement a new efficient computing framework…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-04 Stefano Carrazza , Juan Cruz-Martinez

Existing point cloud semantic segmentation networks cannot identify unknown classes and update their knowledge, due to a closed-set and static perspective of the real world, which would induce the intelligent agent to make bad decisions. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Jinfeng Xu , Siyuan Yang , Xianzhi Li , Yuan Tang , Yixue Hao , Long Hu , Min Chen

While spherical data arises in many contexts, including in directional statistics, the current tools for density estimation and population comparison on spheres are quite limited. Popular approaches for comparing populations (on Euclidean…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Zhengwu Zhang , Eric Klassen , Anuj Srivastava

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control. In this domain, kernel methods such as Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Amon Lahr , Anna Scampicchio , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

A robust uncertainty estimate in global analyses of Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) is essential at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), especially in view of the high-precision data anticipated by experimentalists in the High-Luminosity…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-14 Mark N. Costantini , Luca Mantani , James M. Moore , Maria Ubiali

Data depth is a statistical function that generalizes order and quantiles to the multivariate setting and beyond, with applications spanning over descriptive and visual statistics, anomaly detection, testing, etc. The celebrated halfspace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-22 Arturo Castellanos , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc , Hicham Janati

In probability density function (PDF) methods a transport equation is solved numerically to compute the time and space dependent probability distribution of several flow variables in a turbulent flow. The joint PDF of the velocity…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2010-06-04 J. Bakosi , P. Franzese , Z. Boybeyi

Latent Dirichlet Allocation models discrete data as a mixture of discrete distributions, using Dirichlet beliefs over the mixture weights. We study a variation of this concept, in which the documents' mixture weight beliefs are replaced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-10-24 Philipp Hennig , David Stern , Ralf Herbrich , Thore Graepel

These notes provide a self-contained introduction to kernel methods and their geometric foundations in machine learning. Starting from the construction of Hilbert spaces, we develop the theory of positive definite kernels, reproducing…

This paper extends a conventional, general framework for online adaptive estimation problems for systems governed by unknown nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The central feature of the theory introduced in this paper represents…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Parag Bobade , Suprotim Majumdar , Savio Pereira , Andrew J. Kurdila , John B. Ferris

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

We introduce a novel two-step approach for estimating a probability density function (pdf) given its samples, with the second and important step coming from a geometric formulation. The procedure involves obtaining an initial estimate of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Debdeep Pati , Anuj Srivastava

A model for the prediction of functional time series is introduced, where observations are assumed to be continuous random functions. We model the dependence of the data with a nonstandard autoregressive structure, motivated in terms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Beatriz Bueno-Larraz , Johannes Klepsch

The probability density function (PDF) associated with a given set of samples is approximated by a piecewise-linear polynomial constructed with respect to a binning of the sample space. The kernel functions are a compactly supported basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Giacomo Capodaglio , Max Gunzburger

In this paper, we present an efficient algorithm for solving a class of chance constrained optimization under non-parametric uncertainty. Our algorithm is built on the possibility of representing arbitrary distributions as functions in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Bharath Gopalakrishnan , Arun Kumar Singh , K. Madhava Krishna , Dinesh Manocha

Recent advances in reconstruction methods for inverse problems leverage powerful data-driven models, e.g., deep neural networks. These techniques have demonstrated state-of-the-art performances for several imaging tasks, but they often do…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Riccardo Barbano , Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin