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In many real-world applications we are interested in approximating costly functions that are analytically unknown, e.g. complex computer codes. An emulator provides a fast approximation of such functions relying on a limited number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Marc Goodfellow , Daniel Williamson

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

Due to their flexibility, Gaussian processes (GPs) have been widely used in nonparametric function estimation. A prior information about the underlying function is often available. For instance, the physical system (computer model output)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-21 Hassan Maatouk

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are Bayesian models that provide uncertainty estimates associated to the predictions made. They are also very flexible due to their non-parametric nature. Nevertheless, GPs suffer from poor scalability as the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Bahram Jafrasteh , Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

We introduce constrained Gaussian process (CGP), a Gaussian process model for random functions that allows easy placement of mathematical constrains (e.g., non-negativity, monotonicity, etc) on its sample functions. CGP comes with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Jeremiah Zhe Liu

Gaussian process (GP) models provide a powerful tool for prediction but are computationally prohibitive using large data sets. In such scenarios, one has to resort to approximate methods. We derive an approximation based on a composite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-02 Xiuming Liu , Dave Zachariah , Edith C. H. Ngai

Accurately predicting the future capacity and remaining useful life of batteries is necessary to ensure reliable system operation and to minimise maintenance costs. The complex nature of battery degradation has meant that mechanistic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-01 Robert R. Richardson , Michael A. Osborne , David A. Howey

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

The performance of Gaussian Process (GP) regression is often hampered by the curse of dimensionality, which inflates computational cost and reduces predictive power in high-dimensional problems. Variable selection is thus crucial for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Minshen Xu , Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

Transformed Gaussian Processes (TGPs) are stochastic processes specified by transforming samples from the joint distribution from a prior process (typically a GP) using an invertible transformation; increasing the flexibility of the base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Francisco Javier Sáez-Maldonado , Juan Maroñas , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

For a learning task, Gaussian process (GP) is interested in learning the statistical relationship between inputs and outputs, since it offers not only the prediction mean but also the associated variability. The vanilla GP however struggles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

Several machine learning problems arising in natural language processing can be modeled as a sequence labeling problem. We provide Gaussian process models based on pseudo-likelihood approximation to perform sequence labeling. Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-22 P. K. Srijith , P. Balamurugan , Shirish Shevade

The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-02 Kurt Cutajar , Edwin V. Bonilla , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Automatic forecasting is the task of receiving a time series and returning a forecast for the next time steps without any human intervention. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for modeling time series, but so far there are no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-27 Giorgio Corani , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon
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