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We show how the quality of decisions based on the aggregated opinions of the crowd can be conveniently studied using a sample of individual responses to a standard IQ questionnaire. We aggregated the responses to the IQ questionnaire using…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Michal Kosinski , Yoram Bachrach , Thore Graepel , Giergji Kasneci , Jurgen Van Gael

This paper considers the challenge of evaluating a set of classifiers, as done in shared task evaluations like the KDD Cup or NIST TREC, without expert labels. While expert labels provide the traditional cornerstone for evaluating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Hyun Joon Jung , Matthew Lease

The task of expert finding has been getting increasing attention in information retrieval literature. However, the current state-of-the-art is still lacking in principled approaches for combining different sources of evidence in an optimal…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-02-05 Catarina Moreira , Pável Calado , Bruno Martins

Background: Pairwise and network meta-analyses using fixed effect and random effects models are commonly applied to synthesise evidence from randomised controlled trials. The models differ in their assumptions and the interpretation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-04 Shijie Ren , Jeremy E. Oakley , John W. Stevens

This paper proposes a federated framework for demand flexibility aggregation to support grid operations. Unlike existing geometric methods that rely on a static, pre-defined base set as the geometric template for aggregation, our framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Yifan Dong , Ge Chen , Junjie Qin

Exemplar-based clustering methods have been shown to produce state-of-the-art results on a number of synthetic and real-world clustering problems. They are appealing because they offer computational benefits over latent-mean models and can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Daniel Tarlow , Richard S. Zemel , Brendan J. Frey

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Zhenghan Zhu , Steven Kay

Value-based argumentation enhances a classical abstract argumentation graph - in which arguments are modelled as nodes connected by directed arrows called attacks - with labels on arguments, called values, and an ordering on values, called…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Grzegorz Lisowski , Sylvie Doutre , Umberto Grandi

Federated sampling algorithms have recently gained great popularity in the community of machine learning and statistics. This paper studies variants of such algorithms called Error Feedback Langevin algorithms (ELF). In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-09 Avetik Karagulyan , Peter Richtárik

Federated recommendation (FR) facilitates collaborative training by aggregating local models from massive devices, enabling client-specific personalization while ensuring privacy. However, we empirically and theoretically demonstrate that…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Jundong Chen , Honglei Zhang , Chunxu Zhang , Fangyuan Luo , Yidong Li

In this paper, we study the accuracy of values aggregated over classes predicted by a classification algorithm. The problem is that the resulting aggregates (e.g., sums of a variable) are known to be biased. The bias can be large even for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Q. A. Meertens , C. G. H. Diks , H. J. van den Herik , F W Takes

Machine learning algorithms dedicated to financial time series forecasting have gained a lot of interest. But choosing between several algorithms can be challenging, as their estimation accuracy may be unstable over time. Online aggregation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-07 Carl Remlinger , Brière Marie , Alasseur Clémence , Joseph Mikael

In the literature surrounding Bayesian penalized regression, the two primary choices of prior distribution on the regression coefficients are zero-mean Gaussian and Laplace. While both have been compared numerically and theoretically, there…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-26 Luke Bornn , Raphael Gottardo , Arnaud Doucet

The aggregation of multiple opinions plays a crucial role in decision-making, such as in hiring and loan review, and in labeling data for supervised learning. Although majority voting and existing opinion aggregation models are effective…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Ryosuke Ueda , Koh Takeuchi , Hisashi Kashima

Ensemble of predictions is known to perform better than individual predictions taken separately. However, for tasks that require heavy computational resources, e.g. semantic segmentation, creating an ensemble of learners that needs to be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Walid Bousselham , Guillaume Thibault , Lucas Pagano , Archana Machireddy , Joe Gray , Young Hwan Chang , Xubo Song

We present and empirically evaluate an efficient algorithm that learns to aggregate the predictions of an ensemble of binary classifiers. The algorithm uses the structure of the ensemble predictions on unlabeled data to yield significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-12 Akshay Balsubramani , Yoav Freund

Rule learning approaches for knowledge graph completion are efficient, interpretable and competitive to purely neural models. The rule aggregation problem is concerned with finding one plausibility score for a candidate fact which was…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Patrick Betz , Stefan Lüdtke , Christian Meilicke , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Across the empirical sciences, few statistical procedures rival the popularity of the frequentist t-test. In contrast, the Bayesian versions of the t-test have languished in obscurity. In recent years, however, the theoretical and practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-17 Quentin F. Gronau , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Class-incremental learning is becoming more popular as it helps models widen their applicability while not forgetting what they already know. A trend in this area is to use a mixture-of-expert technique, where different models work together…