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We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yakov Babichenko , Dan Garber

It is important to collect credible training samples $(x,y)$ for building data-intensive learning systems (e.g., a deep learning system). Asking people to report complex distribution $p(x)$, though theoretically viable, is challenging in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Jiaheng Wei , Zuyue Fu , Yang Liu , Xingyu Li , Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang

This paper studies statistical aggregation procedures in the regression setting. A motivating factor is the existence of many different methods of estimation, leading to possibly competing estimators. We consider here three different types…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Florentina Bunea , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Marten H. Wegkamp

Many decision problems cannot be solved exactly and use several estimation algorithms that assign scores to the different available options. The estimation errors can have various correlations, from low (e.g. between two very different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Theo Delemazure , François Durand , Fabien Mathieu

Bayesian experts who are exposed to different evidence often make contradictory probabilistic forecasts. An aggregator, ignorant of the underlying model, uses this to calculate her own forecast. We use the notions of scoring rules and…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-13 Itai Areili , Yakov Babichenko , Rann Smorodinsky

Processing sets or other unordered, potentially variable-sized inputs in neural networks is usually handled by aggregating a number of input tensors into a single representation. While a number of aggregation methods already exist from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Sergey Bartunov , Fabian B. Fuchs , Timothy Lillicrap

Aggregating responses from crowd workers is a fundamental task in the process of crowdsourcing. In cases where a few experts are overwhelmed by a large number of non-experts, most answer aggregation algorithms such as the majority voting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Yasushi Kawase , Yuko Kuroki , Atsushi Miyauchi

Context: Families of experiments (i.e., groups of experiments with the same goal) are on the rise in Software Engineering (SE). Selecting unsuitable aggregation techniques to analyze families may undermine their potential to provide…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Adrian Santos , Omar Gomez , Natalia Juristo

We propose an approach based on function evaluations and Bayesian inference to extract higher-order differential information of objective functions {from a given ensemble of particles}. Pointwise evaluation $\{V(x^i)\}_i$ of some potential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-02 Claudia Schillings , Claudia Totzeck , Philipp Wacker

A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

This note introduces FRESH (Fusion of Recent Evidence and Subject Histories), a method for incorporating population-level summary results -- published clinical trials, registry summaries, prior natural-history studies, and peer-reviewed…

This paper presents a new approach based on optimization model to determine the weights of experts in the multi-attribute group decision. Firstly, by minimizing the sum of differences between individual evaluations and the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Yuetong Liu , Chaolang Hu , Shiquan Zhang , Qixiao Hu

Federated learning is a prominent distributed learning paradigm that incorporates collaboration among diverse clients, promotes data locality, and thus ensures privacy. These clients have their own technological, cultural, and other biases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Antesh Upadhyay , Abolfazl Hashemi

Clustered Federated Learning (CFL) addresses the challenges posed by non-IID data by training multiple group- or cluster-specific expert models. However, existing methods often overlook the shared information across clusters, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Zeqi Leng , Chunxu Zhang , Guodong Long , Riting Xia , Bo Yang

In this paper we analyze judgement aggregation problems in which a group of agents independently votes on a set of complex propositions that has some interdependency constraint between them(e.g., transitivity when describing preferences).…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Ilan Nehama

The measurement of the efficiency of an event selection is always an important part of the analysis of experimental data. The statistical techniques which are needed to determine the efficiency and its uncertainty are reviewed. Frequentist…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-28 Diego Casadei

We propose a method for combining probabilistic outputs of classifiers to make a single consensus class prediction when no further information about the individual classifiers is available, beyond that they have been trained for the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Jordan F. Masakuna , Simukai W. Utete , Steve Kroon

Given a set of hand-crafted local features, acquiring a global representation via aggregation is a promising technique to boost computational efficiency and improve task performance. Existing feature aggregation (FA) approaches, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Xingxing Zhang , Zhenfeng Zhu , Yao Zhao

As a model-based evolutionary algorithm, estimation of distribution algorithm (EDA) possesses unique characteristics and has been widely applied to global optimization. However, traditional Gaussian EDA (GEDA) may suffer from premature…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-05 Yongsheng Liang , Zhigang Ren , Bei Pang , An Chen

We consider the problem of information aggregation in federated decision making, where a group of agents collaborate to infer the underlying state of nature without sharing their private data with the central processor or each other. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Mert Kayaalp , Yunus Inan , Visa Koivunen , Emre Telatar , Ali H. Sayed
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