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Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

This paper presents a Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) on the variance of unbiased estimates of factor matrices in Canonical Polyadic (CP) or CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) decompositions of a tensor from noisy observations, (i.e., the tensor plus a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-02-10 Petr Tichavsky , Anh Huy Phan , Zbynek Koldovsky

In this paper, the Cramer Rao bound (CRB) for range estimation between two underwater nodes is calculated under a Gaussian noise assumption on the measurements. The nodes can measure their depths, their mutual time of flight, and they have…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-30 Hamid Ramezani , Raj Thilak Rajan , Geert Leus

Multiclass neural networks are a common tool in modern unsupervised domain adaptation, yet an appropriate theoretical description for their non-uniform sample complexity is lacking in the adaptation literature. To fill this gap, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Anthony Sicilia , Katherine Atwell , Malihe Alikhani , Seong Jae Hwang

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi = (\xi_n)$. We establish a Berry-Esseen bound and a Cram\'er's type large deviation expansion for $\log Z_n$ under the annealed law $\mathbb P$. We also improve…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Eric Miqueu

This study introduces an iterative Bayesian Robbins--Monro (IBRM) sequence, which unites the classical Robbins--Monro sequence with statistical estimation for faster root-finding under noisy observations. Although the standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Siwei Liu , Ke Ma , Stephan M. Goetz

Learning unbiased models on imbalanced datasets is a significant challenge. Rare classes tend to get a concentrated representation in the classification space which hampers the generalization of learned boundaries to new test examples. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Salman Khan , Munawar Hayat , Waqas Zamir , Jianbing Shen , Ling Shao

We derive Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations for stationary sequences of bounded random variables. Our results imply the moderate deviation principles and a Berry-Esseen bound. Applications to quantile coupling inequalities, functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Xiequan Fan

We theoretically analyse the limits of robustness to test-time adversarial and noisy examples in classification. Our work focuses on deriving bounds which uniformly apply to all classifiers (i.e all measurable functions from features to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-13 Elvis Dohmatob

PAC-Bayesian is an analysis framework where the training error can be expressed as the weighted average of the hypotheses in the posterior distribution whilst incorporating the prior knowledge. In addition to being a pure generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Wei Huang , Chunrui Liu , Yilan Chen , Tianyu Liu , Richard Yi Da Xu

We revisit the method of mixture technique, also known as the Laplace method, to study the concentration phenomenon in generic exponential families. Combining the properties of Bregman divergence associated with log-partition function of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Patrick Saux , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard , Aditya Gopalan

A large class of stochastic programs involve optimizing an expectation taken with respect to an underlying distribution that is unknown in practice. One popular approach to addressing the distributional uncertainty, known as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Di Wu , Helin Zhu , Enlu Zhou

Current PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are restricted to scalar metrics of performance, such as the loss or error rate. However, one ideally wants more information-rich certificates that control the entire distribution of possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Reuben Adams , John Shawe-Taylor , Benjamin Guedj

This paper extends the standard chaining technique to prove excess risk upper bounds for empirical risk minimization with random design settings even if the magnitude of the noise and the estimates is unbounded. The bound applies to many…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 Gábor Balázs , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

We derive a Cram\'er-Rao lower bound for the variance of Floquet multiplier estimates that have been constructed from stable limit cycles perturbed by noise. To do so, we consider perturbed periodic orbits in the plane. We use a periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Aurya Javeed

We use the Cramer-Rao bound to show which short magnetic reversals can be recovered successfully from a magnetic anomaly profile. Using a simple variant of the Vine-Matthews model, we show, in particular, that errors in determining the…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-02-05 S. A. Ivanov , S. A. Merkuryev

Meta learning uses information from base learners (e.g. classifiers or estimators) as well as information about the learning problem to improve upon the performance of a single base learner. For example, the Bayes error rate of a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Kevin R. Moon , Veronique Delouille , Alfred O. Hero

This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

The author studies the Cramer-Rao type bound by a linear programming approach. By this approach, he found a necessary and sufficient condition that the Cramer-Rao type bound is attained by a random measurement. In a spin 1/2 system, this…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Masahito Hayashi
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