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Bayesian analysis is a framework for parameter estimation that applies even in uncertainty regimes where the commonly used local (frequentist) analysis based on the Cram\'er-Rao bound is not well defined. In particular, it applies when no…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Simon Morelli , Ayaka Usui , Elizabeth Agudelo , Nicolai Friis

Minimising upper bounds on the population risk or the generalisation gap has been widely used in structural risk minimisation (SRM) -- this is in particular at the core of PAC-Bayesian learning. Despite its successes and unfailing surge of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Paul Viallard , Maxime Haddouche , Umut Şimşekli , Benjamin Guedj

PAC-Bayesian bounds have proven to be a valuable tool for deriving generalization bounds and for designing new learning algorithms in machine learning. However, it typically focus on providing generalization bounds with respect to a chosen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 The Tien Mai

In information geometry, statistical models are considered as differentiable manifolds, where each probability distribution represents a unique point on the manifold. A Riemannian metric can be systematically obtained from a divergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Satyajit Dhadumia , M. Ashok Kumar

Bounding the optimal precision in parameter estimation tasks is of central importance for technological applications. In the regime of a small number of measurements, or that of low signal-to-noise ratios, the meaning of common frequentist…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-23 Valentin Gebhart , Manuel Gessner , Augusto Smerzi

Mixed-resolution architectures, combining high-resolution (analog) data with coarsely quantized (e.g., 1-bit) data, are widely employed in emerging communication and radar systems to reduce hardware costs and power consumption. However, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Yaniv Mazor , Tirza Routtenberg

We present a Bayesian view of counterfactual risk minimization (CRM) for offline learning from logged bandit feedback. Using PAC-Bayesian analysis, we derive a new generalization bound for the truncated inverse propensity score estimator.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Ben London , Ted Sandler

Empirically, the PAC-Bayesian analysis is known to produce tight risk bounds for practical machine learning algorithms. However, in its naive form, it can only deal with stochastic predictors while such predictors are rarely used and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Kohei Miyaguchi

Performance bounds for parameter estimation play a crucial role in statistical signal processing theory and applications. Two widely recognized bounds are the Cram\'{e}r-Rao bound (CRB) in the non-Bayesian framework, and the Bayesian CRB…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Ori Aharon , Joseph Tabrikian

We derive lower bounds on the variance of estimators in quantum metrology by choosing test observables that define constraints on the unbiasedness of the estimator. The quantum bounds are obtained by analytical optimization over all…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-07-27 M. Gessner , A. Smerzi

This tutorial gives a concise overview of existing PAC-Bayesian theory focusing on three generalization bounds. The first is an Occam bound which handles rules with finite precision parameters and which states that generalization loss is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-09 David McAllester

Recently, it has been proved in Babadi et al. that in noisy compressed sensing, a joint typical estimator can asymptotically achieve the Cramer-Rao lower bound of the problem.To prove this result, this paper used a lemma,which is provided…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Rad Niazadeh , Masoud Babaie-Zadeh , Christian Jutten

In this work, we propose a PAC-Bayes bound for the generalization risk of the Gibbs classifier in the multi-class classification framework. The novelty of our work is the critical use of the confusion matrix of a classifier as an error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-23 Emilie Morvant , Sokol Koço , Liva Ralaivola

We use a new method via $p$-Wasserstein bounds to prove Cram\'er-type moderate deviations in (multivariate) normal approximations. In the classical setting that $W$ is a standardized sum of $n$ independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Xiao Fang , Yuta Koike

The relative $\alpha$-entropy is the R\'enyi analog of relative entropy and arises prominently in information-theoretic problems. Recent information geometric investigations on this quantity have enabled the generalization of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Kumar Vijay Mishra , M. Ashok Kumar

This work presents a geometric refinement of the classical Cram\'er--Rao bound (CRB) in the non-asymptotic regime by incorporating curvature-aware corrections based on the second fundamental form associated with the statistical model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Sunder Ram Krishnan

Previous research on PAC-Bayes learning theory has focused extensively on establishing tight upper bounds for test errors. A recently proposed training procedure called PAC-Bayes training, updates the model toward minimizing these bounds.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xitong Zhang , Avrajit Ghosh , Guangliang Liu , Rongrong Wang

The Bayesian learning rule is a natural-gradient variational inference method, which not only contains many existing learning algorithms as special cases but also enables the design of new algorithms. Unfortunately, when variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Wu Lin , Mark Schmidt , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

This paper considers Bayesian optimization (BO) for problems with known outer problem structure. In contrast to the classic BO setting, where the objective function itself is unknown and needs to be iteratively estimated from noisy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Katrin Baumgärtner , Moritz Diehl

In this paper, an approximation recursive formula of the mean-square error lower bound for the discrete-time nonlinear filtering problem when noises of dynamic systems are temporally correlated is derived based on the Van Trees (posterior)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen