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A multi-fidelity (MF) active learning method is presented for design optimization problems characterized by noisy evaluations of the performance metrics. Namely, a generalized MF surrogate model is used for design-space exploration,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Riccardo Pellegrini , Jeroen Wackers , Riccardo Broglia , Andrea Serani , Michel Visonneau , Matteo Diez

Graph Federated Learning (GFL) enables collaborative representation learning across distributed subgraphs while preserving privacy. However, heterogeneity remains a critical challenge, as subgraphs across clients typically differ…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Wentao Yu , Bo Han , Jie Yang , Chen Gong

Machine learning models for chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk prediction often post strong discrimination scores on internal test sets. Calibration and uncertainty quantification get far less attention, leaving clinicians without reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Michael O. Eniolade

Predictive models that accurately emulate complex scientific processes can achieve exponential speed-ups over numerical simulators or experiments, and at the same time provide surrogates for improving the subsequent analysis. Consequently,…

In terms of accuracy, deep learning (DL) models have had considerable success in classification problems for medical imaging applications. However, it is well-known that the outputs of such models, which typically utilise the SoftMax…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-28 Tareen Dawood , Emily Chan , Reza Razavi , Andrew P. King , Esther Puyol-Anton

Simulation and modeling are essential in product development, integrated into the design and manufacturing process to enhance efficiency and quality. They are typically represented as complex nonlinear differential algebraic equations. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Wenqiang Yang , Wenyuan Wu , Yong Feng , Changbo Chen

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

Ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed frequencies is critical in high-stakes domains such as clinical decision support, autonomous driving and financial risk assessment. Existing calibration methods typically apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

Temperature field prediction is of great importance in the thermal design of systems engineering, and building the surrogate model is an effective way for the task. Generally, large amounts of labeled data are required to guarantee a good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yunyang Zhang , Zhiqiang Gong , Weien Zhou , Xiaoyu Zhao , Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao

The setup considered in the paper consists of sensors in a Networked Control System that are used to build a digital twin (DT) model of the system dynamics. The focus is on control, scheduling, and resource allocation for sensory…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Van-Phuc Bui , Shashi Raj Pandey , Pedro M. de Sant Ana , Petar Popovski

This paper introduces Fast Calibrated Explanations, a method designed for generating rapid, uncertainty-aware explanations for machine learning models. By incorporating perturbation techniques from ConformaSight - a global explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Tuwe Löfström , Fatima Rabia Yapicioglu , Alessandra Stramiglio , Helena Löfström , Fabio Vitali

Physics simulators are essential in science and engineering, enabling the analysis, control, and design of complex systems. In experimental sciences, they are increasingly used to automate experimental design, often via combinatorial search…

AI-based persona simulation -- often referred to as digital twin simulation -- is increasingly used for market research, recommender systems, and social sciences. Despite their flexibility, large language models (LLMs) often exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Grace Jiarui Fan , Chengpiao Huang , Tianyi Peng , Kaizheng Wang , Yuhang Wu

Real-time thermal-hydraulic simulation is essential for digital twin (DT) technology that supports the safe and efficient operation of small modular reactors (SMRs). Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) provides high-fidelity flow analysis,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Minseo Lee , Seongmin Oh , Chaehyeon Song , Bumjin Cho , Shilaj Baral , Sangam Khanal , Minseop Song , Joongoo Jeon

Understanding the confidence with which a machine learning model classifies an input datum is an important, and perhaps under-investigated, concept. In this paper, we propose a new calibration metric, the Entropic Calibration Difference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Daniel James Sumler , Lee Devlin , Simon Maskell , Richard O. Lane

We propose a calibrated multivariate regression method named CMR for fitting high dimensional multivariate regression models. Compared with existing methods, CMR calibrates regularization for each regression task with respect to its noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-06 Han Liu , Lie Wang , Tuo Zhao

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

Recent years have seen a surge in deep learning approaches to accelerate numerical solvers, which provide faithful but computationally intensive simulations of the physical world. These deep surrogates are generally trained in a supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Lucas Meyer , Marc Schouler , Robert Alexander Caulk , Alejandro Ribés , Bruno Raffin

Surrogates, models that mimic the behavior of programs, form the basis of a variety of development workflows. We study three surrogate-based design patterns, evaluating each in case studies on a large-scale CPU simulator. With surrogate…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Alex Renda , Yi Ding , Michael Carbin

Safety constraints of nonlinear control systems are commonly enforced through the use of control barrier functions (CBFs). Uncertainties in the dynamic model can disrupt forward invariance guarantees or cause the state to be restricted to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-30 Hannah M. Sweatland , Omkar Sudhir Patil , Warren E. Dixon