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In this paper we refine the process of computing calibration functions for a number of multiclass classification surrogate losses. Calibration functions are a powerful tool for easily converting bounds for the surrogate risk (which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-22 Bernardo Ávila Pires , Csaba Szepesvári

Machine learning provides a data-driven approach for creating a digital twin of a system - a digital model used to predict the system behavior. Having an accurate digital twin can drive many applications, such as controlling autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Robert M. Kent , Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

In this study, we investigate the potential of fast-to-evaluate surrogate modeling techniques for developing a hybrid digital twin of a steel-reinforced concrete beam, serving as a representative example of a civil engineering structure. As…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Tarik Sahin , Daniel Wolff , Max von Danwitz , Alexander Popp

Deep neural network (DNN) classifiers are often overconfident, producing miscalibrated class probabilities. In high-risk applications like healthcare, practitioners require $\textit{fully calibrated}$ probability predictions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

In recent years, applying deep learning to solve physics problems has attracted much attention. Data-driven deep learning methods produce fast numerical operators that can learn approximate solutions to the whole system of partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Yining Luo , Yingfa Chen , Zhen Zhang

We develop a parametric error model to construct a digital twin of a superconducting transmon qubit device. The model parameters are extracted from hardware calibration data and supplementary benchmarking circuits, providing a dynamic,…

Over the past several years, various federated learning (FL) methodologies have been developed to improve model accuracy, a primary performance metric in machine learning. However, to utilize FL in practical decision-making scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Yun-Wei Chu , Dong-Jun Han , Seyyedali Hosseinalipour , Christopher Brinton

Parameter calibration is essential for reducing uncertainty and improving predictive fidelity in physics-based models, yet it is often limited by the high computational cost of model evaluations. Bayesian calibration methods provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Maike F. Holthuijzen , Atlanta Chakraborty , Elizabeth Krath , Tommie Catanach

Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Taking agent-based models (ABM) closer to the data is an open challenge. This paper explicitly tackles parameter space exploration and calibration of ABMs combining supervised machine-learning and intelligent sampling to build a surrogate…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini , Amir Sani

The fusion of LiDARs and cameras has been increasingly adopted in autonomous driving for perception tasks. The performance of such fusion-based algorithms largely depends on the accuracy of sensor calibration, which is challenging due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Yuxuan Xiao , Yao Li , Chengzhen Meng , Xingchen Li , Jianmin Ji , Yanyong Zhang

In the field of medical image analysis, achieving high accuracy is not enough; ensuring well-calibrated predictions is also crucial. Confidence scores of a deep neural network play a pivotal role in explainability by providing insights into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Usma Niyaz , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Efficient solid-liquid separation is crucial in industries like mining, but traditional chamber filter presses depend heavily on manual monitoring, leading to inefficiencies, downtime, and resource wastage. This paper introduces a machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Dennis Teutscher , Tyll Weber-Carstanjen , Stephan Simonis , Mathias J. Krause

This paper presents the development of a calibrated digital twin of a wheel loader. A calibrated digital twin integrates a construction vehicle with a high-fidelity digital model allowing for automated diagnostics and optimization of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Deniz Karanfil , Daniel Lindmark , Martin Servin , David Torick , Bahram Ravani

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

Data center cooling systems consume significant auxiliary energy, yet optimization studies rarely quantify the gap between theoretically optimal and operationally deployable control strategies. This paper develops a digital twin of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Shrenik Jadhav , Zheng Liu

Contextual clinical reasoning demands robust inference grounded in complex, heterogeneous clinical records. While state-of-the-art fine-tuning, in-context learning (ICL), and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) enable knowledge exposure,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-09 Chuang Zhao , Hongke Zhao , Xiaofang Zhou , Xiaomeng Li

Multifidelity surrogate modelling combines data of varying accuracy and cost from different sources. It strategically uses low-fidelity models for rapid evaluations, saving computational resources, and high-fidelity models for detailed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Daniel N Wilke