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We derive exponential bounds for tail of distribution for natural, i.e. under ordinary logarithm, normalized sums of arrays of random variables, not necessarily independent.

In probability theory, there exist discrete and continuous distributions. Generally speaking, we do not have sufficient kinds and properties of discrete ones compared to the continuous ones. In this paper, we treat the Riemann zeta…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Takahiro Aoyama , Ryuya Namba , Koki Ota

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

The (general) hypoexponential distribution is the distribution of a sum of independent exponential random variables. We consider the particular case when the involved exponential variables have distinct rate parameters. We prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 George P. Yanev

The concept of a L\'evy subordinator is generalized to a family of non-decreasing stochastic processes, which are parameterized in terms of two Bernstein functions. Whereas the independent increments property is only maintained in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Jan-Frederik Mai , Matthias Scherer

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

For differentiable dynamical systems with dominated splittings, we give upper estimates on the measure-theoretic tail entropy in terms of Lyapunov exponents. As our primary application, we verify the upper semi-continuity of metric entropy…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-08 Yongluo Cao , Gang Liao , Zhiyuan You

The study of loss function distributions is critical to characterize a model's behaviour on a given machine learning problem. For example, while the quality of a model is commonly determined by the average loss assessed on a testing set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Etrit Haxholli , Marco Lorenzi

We investigate a class of stochastic fragmentation processes involving stable and unstable fragments. We solve analytically for the fragment length density and find that a generic algebraic divergence characterizes its small-size tail.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. L. Krapivsky , E. Ben-Naim , I. Grosse

The task of estimation of the tails of probability distributions having small samples seems to be still opened and almost unsolvable. The paper tries to make a step in filling this gap. In 2017 Jordanova et al. introduce six new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Pavlina Jordanova , Monika Peteva

We combine a sieve method together with good uniformity estimates to prove a secondary term for the asymptotic estimate of $S_3\times A$ extensions over $\mathbb{Q}$ when $A$ is an odd abelian group with minimal prime divisor greater than…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Jiuya Wang

In this paper, we derive higher-order expansions of $L$-statistics of independent risks $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ under conditions on the underlying distribution function $F$. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 E. Hashorva , C. Ling , Z. Peng

This note examines the infinite divisibility of density-based transformations of normal random variables. We characterize a class of density-based transformations of normal variables which produces non-infinitely divisible distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-03 A. Murillo-Salas , F. J. Rubio

We investigate the upper tail distribution of the partition function of the directed polymer in a random environment on $\mathbb Z^d$ in the weak disorder phase. We show that the distribution of the infinite volume partition function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Stefan Junk , Hubert Lacoin

Let $\{\Gamma_t, \, t\ge 0\}$ be the Gamma subordinator. Using a moment identification due to Bertoin-Yor (2002), we observe that for every $t > 0$ and $\alpha\in (0,1)$ the random variable $\Gamma_t^{-\alpha}$ is distributed as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Pierre Bosch , Thomas Simon

A random vector ${\bf X}$ is weakly stable iff for all $a,b \in \mathbb{R}$ there exists a random variable $\Theta$ such that $a{\bf X} + b {\bf X}' \stackrel{d}{=} {\bf X} \Theta$, where $X'$ is an independent copy of $X$ and $\Theta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 B. H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn , J. K. Misiewicz

This article concerns the tail probabilities of a light-tailed Markov-modulated L\'evy process stopped at a state-dependent Poisson rate. The tails are shown to decay exponentially at rates given by the unique positive and negative roots of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Brendan K. Beare , Won-Ki Seo , Alexis Akira Toda

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

Random deflated risk models have been considered in recent literatures. In this paper, we investigate second-order tail behavior of the deflated risk X=RS under the assumptions of second-order regular variation on the survival functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 E. Hashorva , C. Ling , Z. Peng

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Enkelejd Hashorva , Jinzhi Li