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Learning causal structure is useful in many areas of artificial intelligence, including planning, robotics, and explanation. Constraint-based structure learning algorithms such as PC use conditional independence (CI) tests to infer causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Erica Cai , Andrew McGregor , David Jensen

Acyclic digraphs are the underlying representation of Bayesian networks, a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models. Learning the underlying graph from data is a way of gaining insights about the structural properties of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Learning from a continuous stream of non-stationary data in an unsupervised manner is arguably one of the most common and most challenging settings facing intelligent agents. Here, we attack learning under all three conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Rylan Schaeffer , Gabrielle Kaili-May Liu , Yilun Du , Scott Linderman , Ila Rani Fiete

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are a class of graphs commonly used in practice, with examples that include electronic circuits, Bayesian networks, and neural architectures. While many effective encoders exist for DAGs, it remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Michael Sun , Orion Foo , Gang Liu , Wojciech Matusik , Jie Chen

We propose a probabilistic model to infer supervised latent variables in the Hamming space from observed data. Our model allows simultaneous inference of the number of binary latent variables, and their values. The latent variables preserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Novi Quadrianto , Viktoriia Sharmanska , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

It has long been known that a single-layer fully-connected neural network with an i.i.d. prior over its parameters is equivalent to a Gaussian process (GP), in the limit of infinite network width. This correspondence enables exact Bayesian…

Pac-Bayes bounds are among the most accurate generalization bounds for classifiers learned from independently and identically distributed (IID) data, and it is particularly so for margin classifiers: there have been recent contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-06-09 Liva Ralaivola , Marie Szafranski , Guillaume Stempfel

We investigate a class of feature allocation models that generalize the Indian buffet process and are parameterized by Gibbs-type random measures. Two existing classes are contained as special cases: the original two-parameter Indian buffet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-12 Creighton Heaukulani , Daniel M. Roy

There has been a growing interest in causal learning in recent years. Commonly used representations of causal structures, including Bayesian networks and structural equation models (SEM), take the form of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Jakub Marecek

Bayesian computational strategies for inference can be inefficient in approximating the posterior distribution in models that exhibit some form of periodicity. This is because the probability mass of the marginal posterior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Javier Lopez-Santiago , Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

This article aims to develop the uniformization and boundary theory of random infinite ideal hyperbolic polyhedra (abbr. IHP) and their dual 1-skeleton, i.e., ideal angled graphs (abbr. IAG) from multiple perspectives, including…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Huabin Ge , Yangxiang Lu , Chuwen Wang , Tian Zhou

We describe the combinatorial stochastic process underlying a sequence of conditionally independent Bernoulli processes with a shared beta process hazard measure. As shown by Thibaux and Jordan [TJ07], in the special case when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Daniel M. Roy

We propose a deep generative factor analysis model with beta process prior that can approximate complex non-factorial distributions over the latent codes. We outline a stochastic EM algorithm for scalable inference in a specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-11 Arunesh Mittal , Paul Sajda , John Paisley

Continuous latent variables (LVs) are a key ingredient of many generative models, as they allow modelling expressive mixtures with an uncountable number of components. In contrast, probabilistic circuits (PCs) are hierarchical discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Gennaro Gala , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz , Antonio Vergari , Erik Quaeghebeur

Deep generative models (DGMs) for graphs achieve impressively high expressive power thanks to very efficient and scalable neural networks. However, these networks contain non-linearities that prevent analytical computation of many standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Martin Rektoris , Milan Papež , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

This paper presents a Bayesian inferential framework for estimating joint, conditional, and marginal probabilities in directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) applied to the study of the progression of hospitalized patients with severe influenza.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-10 Lesly Acosta , Carmen Armero

Driven by the critical needs of biomanufacturing 4.0, we introduce a probabilistic knowledge graph hybrid model characterizing the risk- and science-based understanding of bioprocess mechanisms. It can faithfully capture the important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Wei Xie , Keqi Wang , Hua Zheng , Ben Feng

We propose a framework that lifts the capabilities of graph convolutional networks (GCNs) to scenarios where no input graph is given and increases their robustness to adversarial attacks. We formulate a joint probabilistic model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Pantelis Elinas , Edwin V. Bonilla , Louis Tiao

Several modern applications involve huge graphs and require fast answers to reachability queries. In more than two decades since first proposals, several approaches have been presented adopting on-line searches, hop labelling or transitive…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-11-09 Nicolas Boria , Gianpiero Cabodi , Paolo Camurati , Marco Palena , Paolo Pasini , Stefano Quer

This paper explores the role of independence of causal influence (ICI) in Bayesian network inference. ICI allows one to factorize a conditional probability table into smaller pieces. We describe a method for exploiting the factorization in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Li Yan