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This paper analyzes correlations and causalities between Bitcoin market indicators and Twitter posts containing emotional signals on Bitcoin. Within a timeframe of 104 days (November 23rd 2013 - March 7th 2014), about 160,000 Twitter posts…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Jermain Kaminski

The growing prominence of cryptocurrencies has triggered widespread public engagement and increased speculative activity, particularly on social media platforms. This study introduces a novel classification framework for identifying…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Moein Shahiki Tash , Zahra Ahani , Mohim Tash , Mostafa Keikhay Farzaneh , Ari Y. Barrera-Animas , Olga Kolesnikova

The rapid growth of the stock market has attracted many investors due to its potential for significant profits. However, predicting stock prices accurately is difficult because financial markets are complex and constantly changing. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Abdelatif Hafid , Maad Ebrahim , Ali Alfatemi , Mohamed Rahouti , Diogo Oliveira

The objective of this research is to examine how sentiment analysis can be employed to generate trading signals for the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. The author assessed sentiment in social media posts and news articles pertaining to the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Oluwafemi F Olaiyapo

This paper introduces CryptoAnalytics, a software toolkit for cryptocoins price forecasting with machine learning (ML) techniques. Cryptocoins are tradable digital assets exchanged for specific trading prices. While history has shown the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

Currently, there is no consensus on the real properties of Bitcoin. The discussion comprises its use as a speculative or safe haven assets, while other authors argue that the augmented attractiveness could end accomplishing money's…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-06 Obryan Poyser

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

In this paper we give an elementary analysis of economics of Bitcoin that combines the transaction demand by the consumers and the supply of hashrate by miners. We argue that the decreasing block reward will have no significant effect on…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-15 Misha Perepelitsa

Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency attracting a lot of interest both from the general public and researchers. There is an ongoing debate on the question of users' anonymity: while the Bitcoin protocol has been designed to ensure that the activity…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Remy Cazabet , Baccour Rym , Latapy Matthieu , Cazabet Remy

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Shubham Singh , Mayur Bhat

We study the dependency and causality structure of the cryptocurrency market investigating collective movements of both prices and social sentiment related to almost two thousand cryptocurrencies traded during the first six months of 2018.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Tomaso Aste

Bitcoin, with its ever-growing popularity, has demonstrated extreme price volatility since its origin. This volatility, together with its decentralised nature, make Bitcoin highly subjective to speculative trading as compared to more…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Yanzhao Zou , Dorien Herremans

Bitcoin is the first and undoubtedly most successful cryptocurrecny to date with a market capitalization of more than 100 billion dollars. Today, Bitcoin has more than 100,000 supporting merchants and more than 3 million active users.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Emmanouil Karampinakis , Michalis Pachilakis , Panagiotis Papadopoulos , Antonis Krithinakis , Evangelos P. Markatos

Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-24 Ramin Mousa , Meysam Afrookhteh , Hooman Khaloo , Amir Ali Bengari , Gholamreza Heidary

In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Aniruddha Dutta , Saket Kumar , Meheli Basu

Bitcoin, one of the major cryptocurrencies, presents great opportunities and challenges with its tremendous potential returns accompanying high risks. The high volatility of Bitcoin and the complex factors affecting them make the study of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-04 Qiutong Guo , Shun Lei , Qing Ye , Zhiyang Fang

This paper presents a large-scale analysis of the cryptocurrency community on Reddit, shedding light on the intricate relationship between the evolution of their activity, emotional dynamics, and price movements. We analyze over 130M posts…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Kostantinos Papadamou , Jay Patel , Jeremy Blackburn , Philipp Jovanovic , Emiliano De Cristofaro

We study the problem of predicting whether the price of the 21 most popular cryptocurrencies (according to coinmarketcap.com) will go up or down on day d, using data up to day d-1. Our C2P2 algorithm is the first algorithm to consider the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Chongyang Bai , Tommy White , Linda Xiao , V. S. Subrahmanian , Ziheng Zhou

As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-23 Raeid Saqur , Nicole Langballe

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay
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