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Related papers: Understanding North Atlantic Climate Instabilities…

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The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant mode of atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic sector, influencing temperature and precipitation across Europe. While the NAO's impact on North Atlantic sea surface temperatures…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-18 Elena Provenzano , Guillaume Gastineau , Carlos Mejia , Didier Swingedouw , Sylvie Thiria

We construct a network from climate records of different geographical sites in the North Atlantic. A link between two sites represents the cross-correlations between the records of each site. We find that within the different phases of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 O. Guez , A. Gozolchiani , K. Yamasaki , Y. Berezin , S. Brenner , S. Havlin

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is a leading mode of atmospheric variability, affecting the North Atlantic Ocean on sub-seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. The NAO changes the atmospheric forcing at the ocean's surface, including…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-03 Dhruv Bhagtani , Andy McC. Hogg , Ryan M. Holmes , Navid C. Constantinou , Hemant Khatri

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) obtained using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia is found to be characterized by a quasi 60-year dominant oscillation since 1650. This pattern emerges clearly once the NAO record…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-06-27 Adriano Mazzarella , Nicola Scafetta

Some initial investigations into various atmospheric phenomena and the influence of the solar cycle on weather have been made. Strongly negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indices, which cause cold and dry winter weather in North West…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-21 Sally Dacie

It is shown that the periodic alteration of night and day provides a chaotic dissipation mechanism for the North Atlantic (NAO) and Southern (SOI) climate oscillations. The wavelet regression detrended daily NAO index for last 60 years and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-07-20 A. Bershadskii

Several recent studies have linked the exceptional North Atlantic and Eurasian atmospheric evolution during late February and March 2018 to the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) that took place a few weeks earlier. February 2018 was…

In this article, we review the interdisciplinary techniques (borrowed from physics, mathematics, statistics, machine-learning, etc.) and methodological framework that we have used to understand climate systems, which serve as examples of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-29 Alka Yadav , Sourish Das , Anirban Chakraborti

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) monthly index is studied from 1825 till 2002 in order to identify the scaling ranges of its fluctuations upon different delay times and to find out whether or not it can be regarded as a Markov process.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Collette , M. Ausloos

A flexible spatio-temporal model is implemented to analyse extreme extra-tropical cyclones objectively identified over the Atlantic and Europe in 6-hourly re-analyses from 1979-2009. Spatial variation in the extremal properties of the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-27 Theodoros Economou , David B. Stephenson , Christopher A. T. Ferro

In recent years, numerical weather prediction models have begun to show notable levels of skill at predicting the average winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) when initialised one month ahead. At the same time, these model predictions…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Kristian Strommen

This study investigates climate change impacts on Moroccan Atlantic coastal upwelling (21$^{\circ}$--35$^{\circ}$N), analyzing interrelationships among the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Coastal Upwelling Index (CUI), and Sea Surface…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-18 Mohammed El Abdioui

This study investigates the variability of the Central England Temperature (CET) series in relation to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) using advanced time series modeling techniques. Leveraging…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Jiahe Ling

We construct a network from climate records of atmospheric temperature at surface level, at different geographical sites in the globe, using reanalysis data from years 1948-2010. We find that the network correlates with the North Atlantic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-17 Oded Guez , Avi Gozolchiani , Yehiel Berezin , Yang Wang , Shlomo Havlin

The oscillations of climatic parameters of North Atlantic Ocean play important role in various events in North America and Europe. Several climatic indices are associated with these oscillations. The long term Atlantic temperature anomalies…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Vasil Kolev , Yavor Chapanov

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) is crucial for understanding upper-ocean thermal dynamics and ocean-atmosphere interactions, which have profound economic and social impacts. While data-driven models show promise in SST prediction, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zheng Jiang , Wei Wang , Gaowei Zhang , Yi Wang

Recent unprecedented ocean warming has produced coherent sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies across the Northern Hemisphere extratropics. Despite extensive research on inter-basin interactions, the causal mechanisms linking North…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-05 Yoko Yamagami , Hiroaki Tatebe , Tsubasa Kohyama , Shoichiro Kido , Satoru Okajima

We present a new approach to forecasting North Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) by recognizing that interannual variability primarily reflects amplitude changes in four dominant seasonal cycles. Our multivariate linear model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Rameshan Kallummal

Since the 1920s, when the three oscillations ENSO, NAO and NPO were found and defined, the theory of ocean-atmosphere coupling is particularly important in explaining the phenomena of atmospheric physics, then defined more than ten climate…

General Physics · Physics 2017-09-25 Jishi Zhang , Jingrong Lu , Haidong Huang , Xiaoning Liu , Yafeng Zhao , Zhiyang Wang , Jinlei Mo
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