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We study a Dirichlet--Ferguson process $\zeta$ on a general phase space. First we reprove the chaos expansion from Peccati (2008), providing an explicit formula for the kernel functions. Then we proceed with developing a Malliavin calculus…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Günter Last , Babette Picker

This paper presents a novel algorithm, based upon the dependent Dirichlet process mixture model (DDPMM), for clustering batch-sequential data containing an unknown number of evolving clusters. The algorithm is derived via a low-variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-04 Trevor Campbell , Miao Liu , Brian Kulis , Jonathan P. How , Lawrence Carin

A P\'olya urn of replacement matrix $R=(R_{i,j})_{1\leq i,j\leq d}$ is a Markov process that encodes the following experiment: an urn contains balls of $d$ different colours and at every time-step, a ball is drawn uniformly at random in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Cécile Mailler , Rebecca Steiner

We present three methodological improvements of the "SCK CEN approach" for Bayesian inference of the radionuclide inventory in radioactive waste drums, from radiological measurements. First we resort to the Dirichlet distribution for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-08 Eric Laloy , Bart Rogiers , An Bielen , Alessandro Borella , Sven Boden

We study Dirichlet series enumerating orbits of Cartesian products of maps whose orbit distributions are modelled on the distributions of finite index subgroups of free abelian groups of finite rank. We interpret Euler factors of such orbit…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Angela Carnevale , Christopher Voll

We introduce a novel preferential attachment model using the draw variables of a modified P\'olya urn with an expanding number of colors, notably capable of modeling influential opinions (in terms of vertices of high degree) as the graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Somya Singh , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

The use of hierarchical mixture priors with shared atoms has recently flourished in the Bayesian literature for partially exchangeable data. Leveraging on nested levels of mixtures, these models allow the estimation of a two-layered data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Laura D'Angelo , Francesco Denti

Variable selection and classification are common objectives in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Most such methods make distributional assumptions that may not be compatible with the diverse families of distributions data can take. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , Lamiae Azizi , John T. Ormerod

The d-dimensional Lambda-Fleming-Viot generator acting on functions g(x), with x being a vector of d allele frequencies, can be written as a Wright-Fisher generator acting on functions g with a modified random linear argument of x induced…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Robert C Griffiths

The purpose of this paper is to extend the investigation of the Fleming-Viot process in discrete space started in a previous work to two specific examples. The first one corresponds to a random walk on the complete graph. Due to its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Bertrand Cloez , Marie-Noémie Thai

This paper develops a semiparametric Bayesian instrumental variable analysis method for estimating the causal effect of an endogenous variable when dealing with unobserved confounders and measurement errors with partly interval-censored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Elvis Han Cui , Xuyang Lu , Jin Zhou , Hua Zhou , Gang Li

We extend the model-free Data-Driven computing paradigm to solids and structures that are stochastic due to intrinsic randomness in the material behavior. The behavior of such materials is characterized by a likelihood measure instead of a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Erik Prume , Stefanie Reese , Michael Ortiz

The F\"ollmer process is a Brownian motion conditioned to have a pre-specified distribution at time 1. This process can be interpreted as an "augmented" time-compressed version of the reverse stochastic differential equation (SDE) for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuta Koike

Diffusion models offer stable training and state-of-the-art performance for deep generative modeling tasks. Here, we consider their use in the context of multivariate subsurface modeling and probabilistic inversion. We first demonstrate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Roberto Miele , Niklas Linde

We propose an unsupervised anomaly detection approach based on a physics-informed diffusion model for multivariate time series data. Over the past years, diffusion model has demonstrated its effectiveness in forecasting, imputation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Juhi Soni , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Stefan Windmann

Many complex ecosystems, such as those formed by multiple microbial taxa, involve intricate interactions amongst various sub-communities. The most basic relationships are frequently modeled as co-occurrence networks in which the nodes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Diego Hernán Díaz Martínez , Christine H. Lee , Peter T. Kim , Washington Mio

The shocks which hit macroeconomic models such as Vector Autoregressions (VARs) have the potential to be non-Gaussian, exhibiting asymmetries and fat tails. This consideration motivates the VAR developed in this paper which uses a Dirichlet…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-29 Florian Huber , Gary Koop

Bayesian hierarchical models are used to share information between related samples and obtain more accurate estimates of sample-level parameters, common structure, and variation between samples. When the parameter of interest is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-18 Jonathan Christensen , Li Ma

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

To understand biological diversification, it is important to account for large-scale processes that affect the evolutionary history of groups of co-distributed populations of organisms. Such events predict temporally clustered divergences…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-11 Jamie R. Oaks
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