Related papers: Diagnostics and Visualization of Point Process Mod…
This paper provides a formalism for an important class of causal inference problems inspired by user-advertiser interaction in online advertiser. Then this formalism is specialized to an extension of temporal marked point processes and the…
Whenever eye movements are measured, a central part of the analysis has to do with where subjects fixate, and why they fixated where they fixated. To a first approximation, a set of fixations can be viewed as a set of points in space: this…
Event sequence, asynchronously generated with random timestamp, is ubiquitous among applications. The precise and arbitrary timestamp can carry important clues about the underlying dynamics, and has lent the event data fundamentally…
Analyzing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes specified on linear networks can provide a more accurate description of crime incidents by…
Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…
Chain event graphs have been established as a practical Bayesian graphical tool. While bespoke diagnostics have been developed for Bayesian Networks, they have not yet been defined for the statistical class of Chain Event Graph models.…
Long-time series of neuronal recordings are resulting from the activity of connected neuronal networks. Yet how neuronal properties can be extracted remains empirical. We review here the data analysis based on network models to recover…
The rapid growth of social media presents a unique opportunity to study coordinated agent behavior in an unfiltered environment. Online processes often exhibit complex structures that reflect the nature of the user behavior, whether it is…
Many real-world phenomena can be represented by a spatio-temporal signal: where, when, and how much. Social media is a tantalizing data source for those who wish to monitor such signals. Unlike most prior work, we assume that the target…
In social science, formal and quantitative models, such as ones describing economic growth and collective action, are used to formulate mechanistic explanations, provide predictions, and uncover questions about observed phenomena. Here, we…
Thanks to technological advances leading to near-continuous time observations, emerging multivariate point process data offer new opportunities for causal discovery. However, a key obstacle in achieving this goal is that many relevant…
Temporal point process as the stochastic process on continuous domain of time is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring with occurrence timestamps. Thanks to the strong expressivity of deep neural networks, they…
Durable interactions are ubiquitous in social network analysis and are increasingly observed with precise time stamps. Phone and video calls, for example, are events to which a specific duration can be assigned. We term data encoding…
The proliferation of social media such as real time microblogging and online reputation systems facilitate real time sensing of social patterns and behavior. In the last decade, sensing and decision making in social networks have witnessed…
Analyzing social networks is challenging. Key features of relational data require the use of non-standard statistical methods such as developing system-specific null, or reference, models that randomize one or more components of the…
Changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic process are typically assumed to occur via change-points, which demark instantaneous moments of complete and total change in process behavior. In cases where these transitions occur…
Social networks are quickly becoming the primary medium for discussing what is happening around real-world events. The information that is generated on social platforms like Twitter can produce rich data streams for immediate insights into…
Social media and social networks have already woven themselves into the very fabric of everyday life. This results in a dramatic increase of social data capturing various relations between the users and their associated artifacts, both in…
A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…
We propose the use of the probability integral transform (PIT) for model validation in point process models. The simple PIT diagnostics assess the calibration of the model and can detect inconsistencies in both the intensity and the…