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It is proposed to use stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching rates (SDEwS) for sampling from finite mixture distributions. An Euler scheme with constant time step for SDEwS is considered. It is shown that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-08 M. V. Tretyakov

Sampling from very large spatial populations is challenging. The solutions suggested in recent literature on this subject often require that the randomly selected units are well distributed across the study region by using complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-26 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni

We introduce an ensemble learning method for dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management building on regression trees. We learn the dynamic value process of a derivative portfolio from a finite sample of its cumulative cash flow. The…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-13 Lotfi Boudabsa , Damir Filipović

We consider the problem of sampling a high dimensional multimodal target probability measure. We assume that a good proposal kernel to move only a subset of the degrees of freedoms (also known as collective variables) is known a priori.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-07 Christoph Schönle , Marylou Gabrié , Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz

In this paper we develop a new technique, called \textit{state redistribution}, that allows the use of explicit time stepping when approximating solutions to hyperbolic conservation laws on embedded boundary grids. State redistribution is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Marsha Berger , Andrew Giuliani

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

Speculative Decoding is a prominent technique for accelerating the autoregressive inference of large language models (LLMs) by employing a fast draft model to propose candidate token sequences and a large target model to verify them in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Chendong Sun , Ali Mao , Lei Xu , mingmin Chen

The widespread popularity of replica exchange and expanded ensemble algorithms for simulating complex molecular systems in chemistry and biophysics has generated much interest in enhancing phase space mixing of these protocols, thus…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 John D. Chodera , Michael R. Shirts

The presence of erratic or unstable paths in standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulations significantly undermines the accurate simulation and sampling of transition pathways. While typically reliable methods, such as the Gillespie algorithm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-03 Elad Korngut , Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

Machine Reading Comprehension (MRC) is an active field in natural language processing with many successful developed models in recent years. Despite their high in-distribution accuracy, these models suffer from two issues: high training…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Razieh Baradaran , Hossein Amirkhani

Replica exchange (RE) is one of the most popular enhanced-sampling simulations technique in use today. Despite widespread successes, RE simulations can sometimes fail to converge in practical amounts of time, e.g., when sampling around…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-13 Thomas Vogel , Danny Perez

The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

This paper proposes a novel approach to generate samples from target distributions that are difficult to sample from using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Traditional MCMC algorithms often face slow convergence due to the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-11 Sandro Dias Pinto Vitenti , Eduardo J. Barroso

Thompson sampling has emerged as an effective heuristic for a broad range of online decision problems. In its basic form, the algorithm requires computing and sampling from a posterior distribution over models, which is tractable only for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiuyuan Lu , Benjamin Van Roy

We propose an ensemble algorithm, which provides a new approach for evaluating and summing up a set of function samples. The proposed algorithm is not a quantum algorithm, insofar it does not involve quantum entanglement. The query…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 C. D'Helon , V. Protopopescu

The superior performance of ensemble methods with infinite models are well known. Most of these methods are based on optimization problems in infinite-dimensional spaces with some regularization, for instance, boosting methods and convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Atsushi Nitanda , Taiji Suzuki

The potential effects of conservation actions on threatened species can be predicted using ensemble ecosystem models by forecasting populations with and without intervention. These model ensembles commonly assume stable coexistence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-22 Sarah A. Vollert , Christopher Drovandi , Matthew P. Adams

We develop a generalized inverse optimization framework for fitting the cost vector of a single linear optimization problem given multiple observed decisions. This setting is motivated by ensemble learning, where building consensus from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-08 Aaron Babier , Timothy C. Y. Chan , Taewoo Lee , Rafid Mahmood , Daria Terekhov

Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…