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Recent years have seen a notable increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. With a rising number of power outages caused by these events, accurate prediction of power line outages is essential for safe and reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Xiaolin Chen , Qiuhua Huang , Yuqi Zhou

We show how to use standard transmission line outage historical data to obtain the network topology in such a way that cascades of line outages can be easily located on the network. Then we obtain statistics quantifying how cascading…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-23 Ian Dobson , Benjamin A. Carreras , David E. Newman , Jose M. Reynolds-Barredo

The size distributions of power outages are shown to depend on the stress, or the proximity of the load of an electrical grid to complete breakdown. Using the data for the U.S. between 2002-2017, we show that the outage statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

When there is a fault, the protection system automatically removes one or more transmission lines on a fast time scale of less than one minute. The outaged lines form a pattern in the transmission network. We extract these patterns from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-16 Ian Dobson , D. Adrian Maldonado , Mihai Anitescu

Line outage identification in distribution grids is essential for sustainable grid operation. In this work, we propose a practical yet robust detection approach that utilizes only readily available voltage magnitudes, eliminating the need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-21 Chenhan Xiao , Yizheng Liao , Yang Weng

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

This paper presents a novel data-driven approach for predicting the number of vegetation-related outages that occur in power distribution systems on a monthly basis. In order to develop an approach that is able to successfully fulfill this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Milad Doostan , Reza Sohrabi , Badrul Chowdhury

Failure probabilities for grid components are often estimated using parametric models which can capitalize on operational grid data. This work formulates a Bayesian hierarchical framework designed to integrate data and domain expertise to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Laurel N. Dunn , Ioanna Kavvada , Mathilde Badoual , Scott J. Moura

Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

We consider stochastic cellular networks where base stations locations form a homogenous Poisson point process and each mobile is attached to the base station that provides the best mean signal power. The mobile is in outage if the SINR…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-03 Laurent Decreusefond , Philippe Martins , Than-Tung Vu

Online transmission line outage detection over the entire network enables timely corrective action to be taken, which prevents a local event from cascading into a large scale blackout. Line outage detection aims to detect an outage as soon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-07 Xiaozhou Yang , Nan Chen , Chao Zhai

We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-04 Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva

We introduce a new microscopic model of the outages in transmission power grids. This model accounts for the automatic response of the grid to load fluctuations that take place on the scale of minutes, when the optimum power flow…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 René Pfitzner , Konstantin Turitsyn , Michael Chertkov

Energy systems resilience is becoming increasingly important as the frequency of major grid outages increases. In this work, we present a methodology to optimize a behind-the-meter distributed energy resource system to sustain a site's…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-29 Sakshi Mishra , Kate Anderson

This paper addresses the problem of predicting duration of unplanned power outages, using historical outage records to train a series of neural network predictors. The initial duration prediction is made based on environmental factors, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Aaron Jaech , Baosen Zhang , Mari Ostendorf , Daniel S. Kirschen

We consider the worst-case load-shedding problem in electric power networks where a number of transmission lines are to be taken out of service. The objective is to identify a pre-specified number of line outage that leads to the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Fu Lin

We show that, for independent interfering sources and a signal link with exponentially distributed received power, the total probability of outage can be decomposed as a simple expression of the outages from the individual interfering…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Arshdeep S. Kahlon , Sebastian S. Szyszkowicz , Shalini Periyalwar , Halim Yanikomeroglu

Transmission line failure in power systems prop-agate non-locally, making the control of the resulting outages extremely difficult. In Part II of this paper, we continue the study of line failure localizability in transmission networks and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 Linqi Guo , Chen Liang , Alessandro Zocca , Steven H. Low , Adam Wierman

This paper studies online power control policies for outage minimization in a fading wireless link with energy harvesting transmitter and receiver. The outage occurs when either the transmitter or the receiver does not have enough energy,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Sheng Zhou , Tingjun Chen , Wei Chen , Zhisheng Niu

Reconstructing transmission networks is essential for identifying key factors like superspreaders and high-risk locations, which are critical for developing effective pandemic prevention strategies. In this study, we developed a Bayesian…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-10 Jianing Xu , Huimin Hu , Gregory Ellison , Lili Yu , Christopher Whalen , Liang Liu
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