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A broad class of stochastic volatility models are defined by systems of stochastic differential equations. While these models have seen widespread success in domains such as finance and statistical climatology, they typically lack an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Gregory Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The periodic Gaussian process (PGP) has been increasingly used to model periodic data due to its high accuracy. Yet, computing the likelihood of PGP has a high computational complexity of $\mathcal{O}\left(n^{3}\right)$ ($n$ is the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Yongxiang Li , Yuting Pu , Changming Cheng , Qian Xiao

Both direct and indirect methods of exoplanet detection rely upon detailed knowledge of the potential host stars. Such stellar characterization allows for accurate extraction of planetary properties, as well as contributing to our overall…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Emilie R. Simpson , Tara Fetherolf , Stephen R. Kane , Joshua Pepper , Teo Mocnik , Paul A. Dalba

We have developed a new method to improve the transit detection of Earth-sized planets in front of solar-like stars by fitting stellar microvariability by means of a spot model. A large Monte Carlo numerical experiment has been designed to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. S. Bonomo , A. F. Lanza

The next generation of galaxy surveys will provide highly accurate measurements of the large-scale structure of the Universe, allowing for more stringent tests of gravity on cosmological scales. Higher order statistics are a valuable tool…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Alejandro Aviles , Gustavo Niz

The ability of Gaussian processes (GPs) to predict the behavior of dynamical systems as a more sample-efficient alternative to parametric models seems promising for real-world robotics research. However, the computational complexity of GPs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Abdolreza Taheri , Joni Pajarinen , Reza Ghabcheloo

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

Stellar photometric variability and instrumental effects, like cosmic ray hits, data discontinuities, data leaks, instrument aging etc. cause difficulties in the characterization of exoplanets and have an impact on the accuracy and…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-12 Sz. Csizmadia , A. M. S. Smith , J. Cabrera , P. Klagyivik , A. Chaushev , K. W. F. Lam

We typically measure the radii of transiting exoplanets from the transit depth, which is given by the ratio of cross-sectional areas of the planet and star. However, if a star has dark starspots (or bright regions) distributed throughout…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-15 Brett M. Morris , Eric Agol , Leslie Hebb , Suzanne L. Hawley

Transiting exoplanets provide access to data to study the mass-radius relation and internal structure of extrasolar planets. Long-period transiting planets allow insight into planetary environments similar to the Solar System where, in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Kaspar von Braun , Stephen R. Kane , Suvrath Mahadevan , Greg Laughlin , Andrew Howard , David R. Ciardi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

Photometry with the transit method has arguably been the most successful exoplanet discovery method to date. A short overview about the rise of that method to its present status is given. The method's strength is the rich set of parameters…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-13 Hans J. Deeg , Roi Alonso

A simple transit model is described along with tests of this model against published results for 4 exoplanet systems (Kepler-1, 2, 8, and 77). Data from the Kepler mission are used. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is applied to…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Yi Ji , Timothy Banks , Edwin Budding , Michael Rhodes

We derive a covariance formula for the number of excursion or level set components of a smooth stationary Gaussian field on $\mathbb{R}^d$ contained in compact domains. We also present two applications of this formula: (1) for fields whose…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Dmitry Beliaev , Michael McAuley , Stephen Muirhead

Multifidelity models integrate data from multiple sources to produce a single approximator for the underlying process. Dense low-fidelity samples are used to reduce interpolation error, while sparse high-fidelity samples are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Viv Bone , Chris van der Heide , Kieran Mackle , Ingo H. J. Jahn , Peter M. Dower , Chris Manzie

Research into light curves from stars (temporal variation of brightness) has completely changed how exoplanets are discovered or characterised. This study including star light curves from the Kepler dataset as a way to discover exoplanets…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-24 Krishna Chamarthy

Low-metallicity, compact starburst galaxies referred to as Green Peas (GPs) provide a unique window to study galactic evolution across cosmic epochs. In this work, we present new deep optical spectra for three GPs from OSIRIS at the 10m…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-11-17 Vital Fernández , R. Amorín , E. Pérez-Montero , P. Papaderos , C. Kehrig , J. M. Vílchez

We propose a principled algorithm for robust Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear stochastic dynamic systems when both the transition function and the measurement function are described by non-parametric Gaussian process (GP)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-08-13 Marc Peter Deisenroth , Ryan Turner , Marco F. Huber , Uwe D. Hanebeck , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Transmission spectra of exoplanets orbiting active stars suffer from wavelength-dependent effects due to stellar photospheric heterogeneity. WASP-19b, an ultra-hot Jupiter (T$_{eq}$ $\sim$ 2100 K), is one such strongly irradiated gas-giant…

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