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Related papers: Data-Driven Approach for Uncertainty Propagation a…

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Using the dynamics of information propagation on a network as our illustrative example, we present and discuss a systematic approach to quantifying heterogeneity and its propagation that borrows established tools from Uncertainty…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-11-25 Karthikeyan Rajendran , Andreas C. Tsoumanis , Constantinos I. Siettos , Carlo R. Laing , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Current research on robust trajectory planning for autonomous agents aims to mitigate uncertainties arising from disturbances and modeling errors while ensuring guaranteed safety. Existing methods primarily utilize stochastic optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Christian Vitale , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios , Georgios Ellinas

In this paper we analyse Belief Propagation over a Gaussian model in a dynamic environment. Recently, this has been proposed as a method to average local measurement values by a distributed protocol ("Consensus Propagation", Moallemi & Van…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-08-10 Erik Aurell , René Pfitzner

This paper proposes a mechanism to fine-tune convex approximations of probabilistic reachable sets (PRS) of uncertain dynamic systems. We consider the case of unbounded uncertainties, for which it may be impossible to find a bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Pengcheng Wu , Sonia Martinez , Jun Chen

Uncertainty propagation in non-linear dynamical systems has become a key problem in various fields including control theory and machine learning. In this work we focus on discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems. We present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Eduardo Figueiredo , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

This paper presents an interpretable machine learning approach that characterizes load dynamics within an operator-theoretic framework for electricity load forecasting in power grids. We represent the dynamics of load data using the Koopman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Ali Tavasoli , Behnaz Moradijamei , Heman Shakeri

Representing and predicting high-dimensional and spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge in dynamical systems and machine learning. Although data-driven models can achieve accurate short-term forecasts,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Liangyu Su , Jun Shu , Rui Liu , Deyu Meng , Zongben Xu

This paper develops a new nonlinear filter, called Moment-based Kalman Filter (MKF), using the exact moment propagation method. Existing state estimation methods use linearization techniques or sampling points to compute approximate values…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Yutaka Shimizu , Ashkan Jasour , Maani Ghaffari , Shinpei Kato

This work proposes a data-driven approach for bifurcation analysis in nonlinear systems when the governing differential equations are not available. Specifically, regularized regression with barrier terms is used to learn a homeomorphism…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-12 Wentao Tang

In this work, we consider a state estimation problem for large-scale nonlinear processes in the absence of first-principles process models. By exploiting process operation data, both process modeling and state estimation design are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-11 Xiaojie Li , Song Bo , Xuewen Zhang , Yan Qin , Xunyuan Yin

The Koopman operator allows for handling nonlinear systems through a (globally) linear representation. In general, the operator is infinite-dimensional - necessitating finite approximations - for which there is no overarching framework.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-23 Petar Bevanda , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Autonomous driving technologies have received notable attention in the past decades. In autonomous driving systems, identifying a precise dynamical model for motion control is nontrivial due to the strong nonlinearity and uncertainty in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Yongqian Xiao , Xinglong Zhang , Xin Xu , Xueqing Liu , Jiahang Liu

In this paper, we propose a data-driven robust safety verification framework for stochastic dynamical systems modeled as Markov decision processes with time-varying and uncertain transition probabilities. Rather than assuming access to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-09 Abhijit Mazumdar , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

We propose a novel method for forecasting the temporal evolution of probability distributions observed at discrete time points. Extending the Dynamic Probability Density Decomposition (DPDD), we embed distributional dynamics into…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-03 Ziyue Wang , Yuko Araki

The theory of covariance control and covariance steering (CS) deals with controlling the dispersion of trajectories of a dynamical system, under the implicit assumption that accurate prior knowledge of the system being controlled is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

This paper presents a new data-driven robust predictive control law, for linear systems affected by unknown-but-bounded process disturbances. A sequence of input-state data is used to construct a suitable uncertainty representation based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

In this paper we develop linear transfer Perron Frobenius operator-based approach for optimal stabilization of stochastic nonlinear system. One of the main highlight of the proposed transfer operator based approach is that both the theory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Apurba Kumar Das , Arvind Raghunathan , Umesh Vaidya

Data-driven model predictive control based on Willems' fundamental lemma has proven effective for linear systems, but extending stability guarantees to nonlinear systems remains an open challenge. In this paper, we establish conditions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Amin Taghieh , SangWoo Park

In this paper, we propose a robust Kalman filtering framework for systems with probabilistic uncertainty in system parameters. We consider two cases, namely discrete time systems, and continuous time systems with discrete measurements. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-09 Sunsoo Kim , Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

Dynamic state estimation, as opposed to kinematic state estimation, seeks to estimate not only the orientation of a rigid body but also its angular velocity, through Euler's equations of rotational motion. This paper demonstrates that the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-07 Amitesh S. Jayaraman , Jikai Ye , Gregory S. Chirikjian