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Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

We propose a scalable Bayesian preference learning method for jointly predicting the preferences of individuals as well as the consensus of a crowd from pairwise labels. Peoples' opinions often differ greatly, making it difficult to predict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

Predicting human mobility patterns has many practical applications in urban planning, traffic engineering, infectious disease epidemiology, emergency management and location-based services. Developing a universal model capable of accurately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-22 Erjian Liu , Xiao-Yong Yan

Safety-critical technical systems operating in unknown environments require the ability to quickly adapt their behavior, which can be achieved in control by inferring a model online from the data stream generated during operation. Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-24 Armin Lederer , Mingmin Zhang , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

Modelling passenger assignments in public transport networks is a fundamental task for city planners, especially when deliberating network infrastructure decisions. A key aspect of a realistic model is to integrate passengers' selfish…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Tobias Harks , Sven Jäger , Michael Markl , Philine Schiewe

Assume we observe a finite number of inspection times together with information on whether a specific event has occurred before each of these times. Suppose replicated measurements are available on multiple event times. The set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank van der Meulen , Lixue Pang

The rise in urbanization throughout the United States (US) in recent years has required urban planners and transportation engineers to have greater consideration for the transportation services available to residents of a metropolitan…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-18 Armstrong Aboah , Lydia Johnson , Setul Shah

Mobility entropy is proposed to measure predictability of human movements, based on which, the upper and lower bound of prediction accuracy is deduced, but corresponding mathematical expressions of prediction accuracy keeps yet open. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lu Liu , Wuyang Zhou , Sihai Zhang , Wei Cai

The importance of human mobility analyses is growing in both research and practice, especially as applications for urban planning and mobility rely on them. Aggregate statistics and visualizations play an essential role as building blocks…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Alexandra Kapp , Saskia Nuñez von Voigt , Helena Mihaljević , Florian Tschorsch

ICT systems provide detailed information on computer network traffic. However, due to storage limitations, some of the information on past traffic is often only retained in an aggregated form. In this paper we show that Linear Gaussian…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Krzysztof Rusek , Mathias Drton

Many causal estimands are only partially identifiable since they depend on the unobservable joint distribution between potential outcomes. Stratification on pretreatment covariates can yield sharper bounds; however, unless the covariates…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Wenlong Ji , Lihua Lei , Asher Spector

In autonomous Mobility on Demand (MOD) systems, customers request rides from a fleet of shared vehicles that can be automatically positioned in response to customer demand. Recent approaches to MOD systems have focused on environments where…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Justin Miller , Jonathan P. How

Trajectory anomaly detection, aiming to estimate the anomaly risk of trajectories given the Source-Destination (SD) pairs, has become a critical problem for many real-world applications. Existing solutions directly train a generative model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Wenbin Li , Di Yao , Chang Gong , Xiaokai Chu , Quanliang Jing , Xiaolei Zhou , Yuxuan Zhang , Yunxia Fan , Jingping Bi

Traffic forecasting from past observed traffic data with small calculation complexity is one of important problems for planning of servers and networks. Focusing on World Wide Web (WWW) traffic as fundamental investigation, this paper would…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2009-12-03 Daiki Koizumi , Toshiyasu Matsushima , Shigeichi Hirasawa

We investigate the benefit of using contextual information in data-driven demand predictions to solve the robust capacitated vehicle routing problem with time windows. Instead of estimating the demand distribution or its mean, we introduce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Ali İrfan Mahmutoğulları , Tias Guns

When there are significant service disruptions in public transit systems, passengers usually need guidance to find alternative paths. This paper proposes a path recommendation model to mitigate congestion during public transit disruptions.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Baichuan Mo , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Max Zuo-Jun Shen , Jinhua Zhao

The need to reason about uncertainty in large, complex, and multi-modal datasets has become increasingly common across modern scientific environments. The ability to transform samples from one distribution $P$ to another distribution $Q$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-30 Diego A. Mesa , Justin Tantiongloc , Marcela Mendoza , Todd P. Coleman

A new approach for functional data description is proposed in this paper. It consists of a regression model with a discrete hidden logistic process which is adapted for modeling curves with abrupt or smooth regime changes. The model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

We introduce an evidential model for time-to-event prediction with censored data. In this model, uncertainty on event time is quantified by Gaussian random fuzzy numbers, a newly introduced family of random fuzzy subsets of the real line…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ling Huang , Yucheng Xing , Thierry Denoeux , Mengling Feng

Performance analysis of queueing networks is one of the most challenging areas of queueing theory. Barring very specialized models such as product-form type queueing networks, there exist very few results which provide provable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Dimitris Bertsimas , David Gamarnik , Alexander Rikun