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The urban transportation system is a combination of multiple transport modes, and the interdependencies across those modes exist. This means that the travel demand across different travel modes could be correlated as one mode may receive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Mingzhuang Hua , Francisco Camara Pereira , Yu Jiang , Xuewu Chen

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

Big, transport-related datasets are nowadays publicly available, which makes data-driven mobility analysis possible. Trips with their origins, destinations and travel times are collected in publicly available big databases, which allows for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-26 Guido Cantelmo , Kucharski Rafal , Constantinos Antoniou

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Accurately modeling traffic speeds is a fundamental part of efficient intelligent transportation systems. Nowadays, with the widespread deployment of GPS-enabled devices, it has become possible to crowdsource the collection of speed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-21 Filipe Rodrigues , Stanislav S. Borysov , Bernardete Ribeiro , Francisco C. Pereira

This paper provides a framework to quantify the sensitivity associated with behavioral models based on Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). These are used to design dynamic pricing strategies aimed at maximizing performance metrics of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Vineet Jagadeesan Nair , Yue Guan , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , H. Eric Tseng , Baljeet Singh

Transposable data represents interactions among two sets of entities, and are typically represented as a matrix containing the known interaction values. Additional side information may consist of feature vectors specific to entities…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-29 Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Cheng Lee , Joydeep Ghosh

Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems are generally designed and analyzed for a fixed and exogenous demand, but such frameworks fail to answer questions about the impact of these services on the urban transportation system, such as the effect of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Yang Liu , Prateek Bansal , Ricardo Daziano , Samitha Samaranayake

Transportation distance information is a powerful resource, but location records are often censored due to privacy concerns or regulatory mandates. We outline methods to approximate, sample from, and compare distributions of distances…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-05 Lucas H. McCabe

This study develops an online predictive optimization framework for dynamically operating a transit service in an area of crowd movements. The proposed framework integrates demand prediction and supply optimization to periodically redesign…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-25 Inon Peled , Kelvin Lee , Yu Jiang , Justin Dauwels , Francisco C. Pereira

Considering the multimodal nature of transport systems and potential cross-modal correlations, there is a growing trend of enhancing demand forecasting accuracy by learning from multimodal data. These multimodal forecasting models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Can Li , Lei Bai , Wei Liu , Lina Yao , S Travis Waller

Understanding travel demand and behavior, particularly route and mode choices, is critical for effective transportation planning and policy design in multi-modal systems with emerging mobility options. Multi-modal system-level data, such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Xiaoyu Ma , Sean Qian

"An advanced city is not a place where the poor move about in cars, rather it's where even the rich use public transportation". This is what Enrique Penalosa, the celebrated ex-mayor of Bogota once said. However, in order to achieve this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-11 Tianfang Ma , Robizon Khubulashvili , Sera Linardi , Konstantinos Pelechrinis

We consider a largely untapped potential for the improvement of traffic networks that is rooted in the inherent uncertainty of travel times. Travel times are subject to stochastic uncertainty resulting from various parameters such as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Svenja M. Griesbach , Martin Hoefer , Max Klimm , Tim Koglin

With the prevalence of MaaS systems, route choice models need to consider characteristics unique to them. MaaS systems tend to involve service systems with fleets of vehicles; as a result, the available service capacity depends on the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Susan Jia Xu , Joseph Y. J. Chow

We present a machine learning based approach to address the study of transport processes, ubiquitous in continuous mechanics, with particular attention to those phenomena ruled by complex micro-physics, impractical to theoretical…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2022-06-16 Francesco Miniati , Gianluca Gregori

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge