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Data taken from observations of the natural world or laboratory measurements often depend on parameters which can vary in unexpected ways. In this paper we demonstrate how machine learning can be leveraged to detect changes in global…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-25 Logan M. Kageorge , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Probabilistic programming is related to a compositional approach to stochastic modeling by switching from discrete to continuous time dynamics. In continuous time, an operator-algebra semantics is available in which processes proceeding in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-05 Eric Mjolsness

This article addresses the challenge of adapting data-based models over time. We propose a novel two-fold modelling architecture designed to correct plant-model mismatch caused by two types of uncertainty. Out-of-domain uncertainty arises…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Laura Boca de Giuli , Alessio La Bella , Riccardo Scattolini

Piecewise smooth hybrid systems, involving continuous and discrete variables, are suitable models for describing the multiscale regulatory machinery of the biological cells. In hybrid models, the discrete variables can switch on and off…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-08-21 Vincent Noel , Dima Grigoriev , Sergei Vakulenko , Ovidiu Radulescu

Rauzy-type dynamics are group actions on a collection of combinatorial objects. The first and best known example (the Rauzy dynamics) concerns an action on permutations, associated to interval exchange transformations (IET) for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Quentin De Mourgues

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

We study iterative methods for (two-stage) robust combinatorial optimization problems with discrete uncertainty. We propose a machine-learning-based heuristic to determine starting scenarios that provide strong lower bounds. To this end, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Lin Li , Ananthram Swami , Anna Scaglione

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

Motivated by the problem of sorting, we introduce two simple combinatorial models with distinct Hamiltonians yet identical spectra (and hence partition function) and show that the local dynamics of these models are very different. After a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 David Lancaster

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Nikhil Mishra , Pieter Abbeel , Igor Mordatch

Molecular dynamics simulations use statistical mechanics at the atomistic scale to enable both the elucidation of fundamental mechanisms and the engineering of matter for desired tasks. The behavior of molecular systems at the microscale is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Wujie Wang , Simon Axelrod , Rafael Gómez-Bombarelli

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

We scrutinize the use of machine learning, based on reservoir computing, to build data-driven effective models of multiscale chaotic systems. We show that, for a wide scale separation, machine learning generates effective models akin to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-11-11 Francesco Borra , Angelo Vulpiani , Massimo Cencini

This paper deals with a Boltzmann-type kinetic model describing the interplay between vehicle dynamics and safety aspects in vehicular traffic. Sticking to the idea that the macroscopic characteristics of traffic flow, including the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-01-12 Paolo Freguglia , Andrea Tosin

In systems where one coordinate undergoes periodic oscillation, the net displacement in any other coordinate over a single period is shown to be given by differentiation of the action integral associated with the oscillating coordinate.…

Classical Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Rory J. Perkins , Paul M. Bellan

Clustering of time series is a well-studied problem, with applications ranging from quantitative, personalized models of metabolism obtained from metabolite concentrations to state discrimination in quantum information theory. We consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Mengjia Niu , Xiaoyu He , Petr Ryšavý , Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

We propose a new mechanism for pattern formation based on the global alternation of two dynamics neither of which exhibits patterns. When driven by either one of the separate dynamics, the system goes to a spatially homogeneous state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 J. Buceta , Katja Lindenberg , J. M. R. Parrondo

Hamiltonian systems with multiple timescales arise in molecular dynamics, classical mechanics, and theoretical physics. Long-time numerical integration of such systems requires resolving fast dynamics with very small time steps, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Rui Fang , Richard Tsai

This paper extends the subjects dicussed in the Data Analysis and Dynamical Systems courses by looking at the subject of modelling data. This task is nontrivial as the underlying process could be non-linear. In the paper some common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-02 Vincent Mellor