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Understanding causal mechanisms in complex systems requires evaluating path-specific effects (PSEs) in multi-mediator models. Identification of PSEs traditionally relies on the demanding cross-world independence assumption. To relax this,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 En-Yu Lai , Jih-Chang Yu , Yen-Tsung Huang

A variety of techniques have been proposed to train machine learning classifiers that are independent of a given feature. While this can be an essential technique for enabling background estimation, it may also be useful for reducing…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-02-09 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman

In many applications, it is important to be able to explain the decisions of machine learning systems. An increasingly popular approach has been to seek to provide \emph{counterfactual instance explanations}. These specify close possible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Adam White , Artur d'Avila Garcez

We find it absurd that Walliser [1] essentially used the same analysis and obtained identical results as reported in [3], yet arrived at different conclusions. Namely, based on an incomplete theory and using erroneous arguments, he not only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel C. Hong , Paul V. Quinn , Stefan Luding

Machine learning practice is often impacted by confounders. Confounding can be particularly severe in remote digital health studies where the participants self-select to enter the study. While many different confounding adjustment…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-14 Elias Chaibub Neto , Meghasyam Tummalacherla , Lara Mangravite , Larsson Omberg

In this work, we propose an approach for assessing sensitivity to unobserved confounding in studies with multiple outcomes. We demonstrate how prior knowledge unique to the multi-outcome setting can be leveraged to strengthen causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Jiajing Zheng , Jiaxi Wu , Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

Invariant causal prediction provides a useful framework for identifying causal predictors of a response using heterogeneous data from multiple environments. One valuable property of the original invariant causal prediction method is that it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jinzhou Li , Jelle J Goeman

The goal of causal inference is to understand the outcome of alternative courses of action. However, all causal inference requires assumptions. Such assumptions can be more influential than in typical tasks for probabilistic modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Dustin Tran , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

The Many Worlds Theory and Constructor Theory are in conflict with the Independence Postulate. The conflict with the Many Worlds Theory is shown through the existence of a finite experiment that measures the spin of a large number of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Samuel Epstein

The proof of the Independence Theorem for Kim-independence in positive thick NSOP$_1$ theories from (Dobrowolski and Kamsma, 2022) contains a gap. The theorem is still true, and in this corrigendum we give a different proof.

Logic · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Jan Dobrowolski , Mark Kamsma

Identifying causal effects in the presence of unmeasured variables is a fundamental challenge in causal inference, for which proxy variable methods have emerged as a powerful solution. We contrast two major approaches in this framework: (1)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Helen Guo , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser

Possibility theory offers a framework where both Lehmann's "preferential inference" and the more productive (but less cautious) "rational closure inference" can be represented. However, there are situations where the second inference does…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Salem Benferhat , Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

We propose a model of causal persuasion, in which a sender selectively discloses a set of variables together with their true joint distribution and proposes a subjective causal model that binds them. A receiver is persuaded by this model…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-04 Anastasia Burkovskaya , Egor Starkov

Causal effects are commonly defined as comparisons of the potential outcomes under treatment and control, but this definition is threatened by the possibility that the treatment or control condition is not well-defined, existing instead in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-26 Raiden B. Hasegawa , Sameer K. Deshpande , Dylan S. Small , Paul R. Rosenbaum

We propose a method to classify the causal relationship between two discrete variables given only the joint distribution of the variables, acknowledging that the method is subject to an inherent baseline error. We assume that the causal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-07 Krzysztof Chalupka , Frederick Eberhardt , Pietro Perona

The aim of this short note is to give counterexamples to two results by D. Y. Gao [5, Th. 16], [4, Th. 2] and to improve a related result by S.-C. Fang, D. Y. Gao, R.-L. Sheu and S.-Y. Wu [1, Th. 3].

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-08-26 M. D. Voisei , C. Zalinescu

We investigate structure for pairs of randomizations that do not follow each other in a chain. These are unrandomized-inclusive, independent, coincident or double randomizations. This involves taking several structures that satisfy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 C. J. Brien , R. A. Bailey

We consider large-scale studies in which thousands of significance tests are performed simultaneously. In some of these studies, the multiple testing procedure can be severely biased by latent confounding factors such as batch effects and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-21 Jingshu Wang , Qingyuan Zhao , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

We report assumption-free bounds for any contrast between the probabilities of the potential outcome under exposure and non-exposure when the confounders are missing not at random. We assume that the missingness mechanism is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Jose M. Peña

Suppose that we are interested in the average causal effect of a binary treatment on an outcome when this relationship is confounded by a binary confounder. Suppose that the confounder is unobserved but a non-differential binary proxy of it…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-29 Jose M. Peña