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A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

Stationary Random Functions have been successfully applied in geostatistical applications for decades. In some instances, the assumption of a homogeneous spatial dependence structure across the entire domain of interest is unrealistic. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-04 Francky Fouedjio , Nicolas Desassis , Thomas Romary

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

This study presents a Bayesian hierarchical model for analyzing spatially correlated functional data and handling irregularly spaced observations. The model uses Bernstein polynomial (BP) bases combined with autoregressive random effects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Alvaro Alexander Burbano Moreno , Ronaldo Dias

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

A Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems is considered where the unknown quantity (input) is a random spatial field. The forward model is complex and non-linear, therefore computationally expensive. An emulator-based methodology is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-11 Anirban Mondal , Bani Mallick

This paper aims to extend the Besag model, a widely used Bayesian spatial model in disease mapping, to a non-stationary spatial model for irregular lattice-type data. The goal is to improve the model's ability to capture complex spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-03 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Elias Krainski , Janet van Niekerk , Håvard Rue

Spatiotemporal data analysis with massive zeros is widely used in many areas such as epidemiology and public health. We use a Bayesian framework to fit zero-inflated negative binomial models and employ a set of latent variables from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Qing He , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

We introduce computational methods that allow for effective estimation of a flexible, parametric non-stationary spatial model when the field size is too large to compute the multivariate normal likelihood directly. In this method, the field…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-20 Amanda Muyskens , Joseph Guinness , Montserrat Fuentes

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

Spatial processes observed in various fields, such as climate and environmental science, often occur on a large scale and demonstrate spatial nonstationarity. Fitting a Gaussian process with a nonstationary Mat\'ern covariance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pratik Nag , Yiping Hong , Sameh Abdulah , Ghulam A. Qadir , Marc G. Genton , Ying Sun

In many applications, survey data are collected from different survey centers in different regions. It happens that in some circumstances, response variables are completely observed while the covariates have missing values. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Guanyu Hu , Ming-Hui Chen

Recent years have seen a huge development in spatial modelling and prediction methodology, driven by the increased availability of remote-sensing data and the reduced cost of distributed-processing technology. It is well known that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Jonathan Rougier

In this work we present full Bayesian inference for a new flexible nonseparable class of cross-covariance functions for multivariate spatial data. A Bayesian test is proposed for separability of covariance functions which is much more…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Rafael S. Erbisti , Thais C. O. Fonseca , Mariane B. Alves

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We develop a fully Bayesian framework for function-on-scalars regression with many predictors. The functional data response is modeled nonparametrically using unknown basis functions, which produces a flexible and data-adaptive functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-25 Daniel R. Kowal , Daniel C. Bourgeois

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

Gaussian processes (GP) are a popular and powerful tool for spatial modelling of data, especially data that quantify environmental processes. However, in stationary form, whether covariance is isotropic or anisotropic, GPs may lack the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Benjamin D. Youngman

We develop a Bayesian spatio-temporal framework for extreme-value analysis that augments a hierarchical copula model with an autoregressive factor to capture residual temporal dependence in threshold exceedances. The factor can be specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Carlos A. Pasquier , Luis A. Barboza