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Real-time monitoring in modern medical research introduces functional longitudinal data, characterized by continuous-time measurements of outcomes, treatments, and confounders. This complexity leads to uncountably infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Andrew Ying

We consider a time series model involving a fractional stochastic component, whose integration order can lie in the stationary/invertible or nonstationary regions and be unknown, and an additive deterministic component consisting of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 P. M. Robinson

When modeling sub-national mortality rates, we should consider three features: (1) how to incorporate any possible correlation among sub-populations to potentially improve forecast accuracy through multi-population joint modeling; (2) how…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

This paper explores the identification and estimation of nonseparable panel data models. We show that the structural function is nonparametrically identified when it is strictly increasing in a scalar unobservable variable, the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-09 Takuya Ishihara

The advent of wearable and sensor technologies now leads to functional predictors which are intrinsically infinite dimensional. While the existing approaches for functional data and survival outcomes lean on the well-established Cox model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Rahul Ghosal , Marcos Matabuena , Sujit K. Ghosh

Measurement error is an important problem that has not been very well studied in the context of Functional Data Analysis. To the best of our knowledge, there are no existing methods that address the presence of functional measurement errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sneha Jadhav , Shuangge Ma

Seasonally adjusted series are usually used to analyse the business cycle and turning points. When the irregular is too high, it is preferable to smooth the series in order to analyse the trend-cycle component directly. This study focuses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Alain Quartier-la-Tente

We propose a function-on-function linear regression model for time-dependent curve data that is consistently estimated by imposing factor structures on the regressors. An integral operator based on cross-covariances identifies two…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-08 Sven Otto , Luis Winter

We consider the problem of constructing nonparametric undirected graphical models for high-dimensional functional data. Most existing statistical methods in this context assume either a Gaussian distribution on the vertices or linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Eftychia Solea , Holger Dette

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

We propose nonparametric methods for functional linear regression which are designed for sparse longitudinal data, where both the predictor and response are functions of a covariate such as time. Predictor and response processes have smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Fang Yao , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

Recent technological developments have enabled us to collect complex and high-dimensional data in many scientific fields, such as population health, meteorology, econometrics, geology, and psychology. It is common to encounter such datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

This article investigates nonparametric estimation of variance functions for functional data when the mean function is unknown. We obtain asymptotic results for the kernel estimator based on squared residuals. Similar to the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-16 Heng Lian

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

This paper presents static and dynamic versions of univariate, multivariate, and multilevel functional time-series methods to forecast implied volatility surfaces in foreign exchange markets. We find that dynamic functional principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Han Lin Shang , Fearghal Kearney

Interest in functional time series has spiked in the recent past with papers covering both methodology and applications being published at a much increased pace. This article contributes to the research in this area by proposing a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-21 Alexander Aue , Anne van Delft

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu

The paper introduces a general framework for statistical analysis of functional time series from a Bayesian perspective. The proposed approach, based on an extension of the popular dynamic linear model to Banach-space valued observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Giovanni Petris