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Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

The prediction of streamflows and other environmental variables in unmonitored basins is a grand challenge in hydrology. Recent machine learning (ML) models can harness vast datasets for accurate predictions at large spatial scales.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jared D. Willard , Fabio Ciulla , Helen Weierbach , Vipin Kumar , Charuleka Varadharajan

This study presents a novel state estimation approach integrating Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) into Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE). This is a shift from using traditional physics-based models within MHE towards data-driven techniques.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Alexander Winkler , Pranav Shah , Katrin Baumgärtner , Vasu Sharma , David Gordon , Jakob Andert

As the costs of sensors and associated IT infrastructure decreases - as exemplified by the Internet of Things - increasing volumes of observational data are becoming available for use by environmental scientists. However, as the number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-26 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

Classifying the state of the atmosphere into a finite number of large-scale circulation regimes is a popular way of investigating teleconnections, the predictability of severe weather events, and climate change. Here, we investigate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Andreas Holm Nielsen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Henrik Karstoft

Indoor thermal comfort in smart buildings has a significant impact on the health and performance of occupants. Consequently, machine learning (ML) is increasingly used to solve challenges related to indoor thermal comfort. Temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Betty Lala , Srikant Manas Kala , Anmol Rastogi , Kunal Dahiya , Aya Hagishima

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

The troposphere is one of the atmospheric layers where most weather phenomena occur. Temperature variations in the troposphere, especially at 500 hPa, a typical level of the middle troposphere, are significant indicators of future weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Zhihao Chen , Jie Gao , Weikai Wang , Zheng Yan

Deep Learning based Weather Prediction (DLWP) models have been improving rapidly over the last few years, surpassing state of the art numerical weather forecasts by significant margins. While much of the optimization effort is focused on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-15 Haoyu Qin , Yungang Chen , Qianchuan Jiang , Pengchao Sun , Xiancai Ye , Chao Lin

The use of Deep Learning hardware algorithms for embedded applications is characterized by challenges such as constraints on device power consumption, availability of labeled data, and limited internet bandwidth for frequent training on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Siqiao Ruan , Ian Colbert , Ken Kreutz-Delgado , Srinjoy Das

Global ambient air pollution, a transboundary challenge, is typically addressed through interventions relying on data from spatially sparse and heterogeneously placed monitoring stations. These stations often encounter temporal data gaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Liam J Berrisford , Hugo Barbosa , Ronaldo Menezes

A question of global concern regarding the sustainable future of humankind stems from the effect due to aerosols on the global climate. The quantification of atmospheric aerosols and their relationship to climatic impacts are key to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-10 David R. Vivas , Estiven Sánchez , John H. Reina

We propose DeepBreath, a deep learning model which automatically recognises people's psychological stress level (mental overload) from their breathing patterns. Using a low cost thermal camera, we track a person's breathing patterns as…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Youngjun Cho , Nadia Bianchi-Berthouze , Simon J. Julier

Precise determination of thermodynamic parameters in ultracold Bose gases remains challenging due to the destructive nature of conventional measurement techniques and inherent experimental uncertainties. We demonstrate a machine learning…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2025-10-29 Jack Griffiths , Steven A. Wrathmall , Simon A. Gardiner

Machine learning models assume that training and test samples are drawn from the same distribution. As such, significant differences between training and test distributions often lead to degradations in performance. We introduce Multiple…

Recently machine learning algorithms based on deep layered artificial neural networks (DNNs) have been applied to a wide variety of high energy physics problems such as jet tagging or event classification. We explore a simple but effective…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2018-11-30 Jason Lee , Inkyu Park , Sangnam Park

Weather forecasting centers currently rely on statistical postprocessing methods to minimize forecast error. This improves skill but can lead to predictions that violate physical principles or disregard dependencies between variables, which…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-23 Francesco Zanetta , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler , Mark A. Liniger

Lightning plays a crucial role in the Earth's climate system, yet existing parameterizations for use in forecasting and earth system models show room for improvement in capturing spatial and temporal variations in its frequency. This study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-15 Randall Jones , Joel A. Thornton , Chris J. Wright , Robert Holzworth

This study investigates the application of deep-learning diffusion models for the super-resolution of weather data, a novel approach aimed at enhancing the spatial resolution and detail of meteorological variables. Leveraging the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Jan Martinů , Petr Šimánek