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In two previous experiments we investigated the neural precursors of subjects' "free" choices for one of two options (pressing one of two buttons, and choosing between adding and subtracting numbers). In these experiments the distribution…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-05 Carsten Allefeld , Chun Siong Soon , Carsten Bogler , Jakob Heinzle , John-Dylan Haynes

A generalized multisensor sequential change detection problem is considered, in which a number of (possibly correlated) sensors monitor an environment in real time, the joint distribution of their observations is determined by a global…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-12 Georgios Fellouris , Grigory Sokolov

Randomization tests are based on a re-randomization of existing data to gain data-dependent critical values that lead to exact hypothesis tests under special circumstances. However, it is not always possible to re-randomize data in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Dennis Dobler

While many statistical procedures rely on a fixed sample size, sequential methods allow a decision-maker to adapt the sample size to achieve a given precision. In this way, sequential tests reduce the average number of observations required…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Henri Doerks , Erik Ekström , Yuqiong Wang

We provide non-asymptotic bounds for first and higher order inclusion probabilities of the rejective sampling model with various size parameters. Further we derive bounds in the semi-definite ordering for matrices that collect (conditional)…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Simon Ruetz , Karin Schnass

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

Consider a distributed detection problem in which the underlying distributions of the observations are unknown; instead of these distributions, noisy versions of empirically observed statistics are available to the fusion center. These…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Haiyun He , Lin Zhou , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In many derivative-free optimization algorithms, a sufficient decrease condition decides whether to accept a trial step in each iteration. This condition typically requires that the potential objective function value decrease of the trial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Anjie Ding , Francesco Rinaldi , Luis Nunes Vicente

Let S be a finite, ordered alphabet, and let x = x_1 x_2 ... x_n be a string over S. A "secondary index" for x answers alphabet range queries of the form: Given a range [a_l,a_r] over S, return the set I_{[a_l;a_r]} = {i |x_i \in [a_l;…

Databases · Computer Science 2008-11-19 Rasmus Pagh , S. Srinivasa Rao

The longest stretch $L(n)$ of consecutive heads in $n$ i.i.d. coin tosses is seen from the prism of large deviations. We first establish precise asymptotics for the moment generating function of $L(n)$ and then show that there are precisely…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Takis Konstantopoulos , Zhenxia Liu , Xiangfeng Yang

In the past couple of years, various approaches to representing and quantifying different types of predictive uncertainty in machine learning, notably in the setting of classification, have been proposed on the basis of second-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Yusuf Sale , Viktor Bengs , Michele Caprio , Eyke Hüllermeier

A number of biomedical problems require performing many hypothesis tests, with an attendant need to apply stringent thresholds. Often the data take the form of a series of predictor vectors, each of which must be compared with a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Yi-Hui Zhou , Fred Wright

In this paper, our interest is in the problem of simultaneous hypothesis testing when the test statistics corresponding to the individual hypotheses are possibly correlated. Specifically, we consider the case when the test statistics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-14 Anupam Kundu , Subir Kumar Bhandari

In this paper we revisit the binary hypothesis testing problem with one-sided compression. Specifically we assume that the distribution in the null hypothesis is a mixture distribution of iid components. The distribution under the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Minh Thanh Vu

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

Hypothesis tests under order restrictions arise in a wide range of scientific applications. By exploiting inequality constraints, such tests can achieve substantial gains in power and interpretability. However, these gains come at a cost:…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ori Davidov

This paper is concerned with estimating the intersection point of two densities, given a sample of both of the densities. This problem arises in classification theory. The main results provide lower bounds for the probability of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Franz Merkl , Leila Mohammadi

Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_n)$ be a vector of i.i.d. random variables where $X_i$'s take values over $\mathbb{N}$. The purpose of this paper is to study the number of weakly increasing subsequences of $X$ of a given length $k$, and the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Ümit Işlak , Alperen Y. Özdemir

This paper studies the problem of high-dimensional multiple testing and sparse recovery from the perspective of sequential analysis. In this setting, the probability of error is a function of the dimension of the problem. A simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-06 Matthew Malloy , Robert Nowak

We analyse the asymptotic behaviour of the probability of observing the expected number of successes at each stage of a sequence of nested Bernoulli trials. Our motivation is the attempt to give a genuinely frequentist interpretation to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm
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