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Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

Increasing popularity of mobile route planning applications based on GPS technology provides opportunities for collecting traffic data in urban environments. One of the main challenges for travel time estimation and prediction in such a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Indre Zliobaite , Mikhail Khokhlov

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

Real-time navigation services, such as Google Maps and Waze, are widely used in daily life. These services provide rich data resources in real-time traffic conditions and travel time predictions; however, they have not been fully applied in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xilei Zhao , James C. Spall

In modern urban centers, effective transportation management poses a significant challenge, with traffic jams and inconsistent travel durations greatly affecting commuters and logistics operations. This study introduces a novel method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Shambhavi Mishra , T. Satyanarayana Murthy

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

The increased availability of large-scale trajectory data around the world provides rich information for the study of urban dynamics. For example, New York City Taxi Limousine Commission regularly releases source-destination information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Hongjian Wang , Zhenhui Li , Yu-Hsuan Kuo , Dan Kifer

Rapid urbanization places increasing stress on already burdened transportation systems, resulting in delays and poor levels of service. Billions of spatiotemporal call detail records (CDRs) collected from mobile devices create new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Jameson L. Toole , Serdar Colak , Fahad Alhasoun , Alexandre Evsukoff , Marta C. Gonzalez

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

Car-hailing services have become a prominent data source for urban traffic studies. Extracting useful information from car-hailing trace data is essential for effective traffic management, while discrepancies between car-hailing vehicles…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-24 Jiannan Mao , Lan Liu , Hao Huang , Weike Lu , Kaiyu Yang , Tianli Tang , Haotian Shi

Accurate roadway travel-time prediction is foundational to transportation systems analysis, yet widespread reliance on either data-intensive congestion models or overly na\"ive heuristics limits scalability and practical adoption in…

Using the growing volumes of vehicle trajectory data, it becomes increasingly possible to capture time-varying and uncertain travel costs in a road network, including travel time and fuel consumption. The current paradigm represents a road…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-12-07 Jian Dai , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen

Travel time estimation is an important component in modern transportation applications. The state of the art techniques for travel time estimation use GPS traces to learn the weights of a road network, often modeled as a directed graph,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-18 Sofiane Abbar , Rade Stanojevic , Mohamed Mokbel

Estimating the travel time of a path is of great importance to smart urban mobility. Existing approaches are either based on estimating the time cost of each road segment which are not able to capture many cross-segment complex factors, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-08 Hanyuan Zhang , Hao Wu , Weiwei Sun , Baihua Zheng

Traffic flow prediction is a big challenge for transportation authorities as it helps plan and develop better infrastructure. State-of-the-art models often struggle to consider the data in the best way possible, as well as intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

We address the problem of simultaneously estimating arc travel times in a network \emph{and} parameters of route choice models for strategic and tactical network planning purposes. Hitherto, these interdependent tasks have been approached…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Sobhan Mohammadpour , Emma Frejinger

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

We introduce a Bayesian model for estimating the distribution of ambulance travel times on each road segment in a city, using Global Positioning System (GPS) data. Due to sparseness and error in the GPS data, the exact ambulance paths and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Bradford S. Westgate , Dawn B. Woodard , David S. Matteson , Shane G. Henderson

Due to the rapid development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, many online web apps (e.g., Google Map and Uber) estimate the travel time of trajectory data collected by mobile devices. However, in reality, complex factors, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Zipei Fan , Jiyuan Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda
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