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Most state-of-the-art probabilistic time series forecasting models rely on sampling to represent future uncertainty. However, this paradigm suffers from inherent limitations, such as lacking explicit probabilities, inadequate coverage, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Xilin Dai , Zhijian Xu , Wanxu Cai , Qiang Xu

One important factor determining the computational complexity of evaluating a probabilistic network is the cardinality of the state spaces of the nodes. By varying the granularity of the state spaces, one can trade off accuracy in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Michael P. Wellman , Chao-Lin Liu

We propose a new class of probabilistic neural-symbolic models, that have symbolic functional programs as a latent, stochastic variable. Instantiated in the context of visual question answering, our probabilistic formulation offers two key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Ramakrishna Vedantam , Karan Desai , Stefan Lee , Marcus Rohrbach , Dhruv Batra , Devi Parikh

A symbolic analysis of observed time series data requires making a discrete partition of a continuous state space containing observations of the dynamics. A particular kind of partition, called ``generating'', preserves all dynamical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-10 Matthew B. Kennel , Michael Buhl

In this paper, we systematize the modeling of probabilistic systems for the purpose of analyzing them with model counting techniques. Starting from unbiased coin flips, we show how to model biased coins, correlated coins, and distributions…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-29 Marcell Vazquez-Chanlatte , Markus N. Rabe , Sanjit A. Seshia

Quantum computers provide an opportunity to efficiently sample from probability distributions that include non-trivial interference effects between amplitudes. Using a simple process wherein all possible state histories can be specified by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-08-22 Davide Provasoli , Benjamin Nachman , Wibe A. de Jong , Christian W Bauer

The starting point of this work is a framework allowing to model systems with dynamic process creation, equipped with a procedure to detect symmetric executions (ie., which differ only by the identities of processes). This allows to reduce…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-02-15 Łukasz Fronc

We consider parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs) that are augmented with unknown probability distributions over parameter values. The problem is to compute the probability to satisfy a temporal logic specification with any concrete…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Thom Badings , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

The bottleneck in the quantitative analysis of Markov chains and Markov decision processes against specifications given in LTL or as some form of nondeterministic B\"uchi automata is the inclusion of a determinisation step of the automaton…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-04-27 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Guangyuan Li , Sven Schewe , Andrea Turrini , Lijun Zhang

Analysis of Markov Decision Processes (MDP) is often hindered by state space explosion. Abstraction is a well-established technique in model checking to mitigate this issue. This paper presents a novel lazy abstraction method for MDP…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Dániel Szekeres , Kristóf Marussy , István Majzik

Multi-objective probabilistic model checking is a powerful technique for verifying stochastic systems against multiple (potentially conflicting) properties. To enhance the trustworthiness and explainability of model checking tools, we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Christel Baier , Calvin Chau , Volodymyr Drobitko , Simon Jantsch , Sascha Klüppelholz

Given a model and a specification, the fundamental model-checking problem asks for algorithmic verification of whether the model satisfies the specification. We consider graphs and Markov decision processes (MDPs), which are fundamental…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-04-16 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Monika Henzinger , Veronika Loitzenbauer , Simin Oraee , Viktor Toman

In this paper, we prove that finite state space non parametric hidden Markov models are identifiable as soon as the transition matrix of the latent Markov chain has full rank and the emission probability distributions are linearly…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-20 Elisabeth Gassiat , Alice Cleynen , Stéphane Robin

For the exploration of large state spaces, symbolic search using binary decision diagrams (BDDs) can save huge amounts of memory and computation time. State sets are represented and modified by accessing and manipulating their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-25 Stefan Edelkamp , Peter Kissmann , Álvaro Torralba

We study infinite-horizon robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) on continuous state spaces with structured rectangular ambiguity set. The proposed ambiguity set falls within the convex hull of unknown generating kernels. We utilize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Mengmeng Li , Yifan Hu , Daniel Kuhn , Yan Li

Markov models are often used to capture the temporal patterns of sequential data for statistical learning applications. While the Hidden Markov modeling-based learning mechanisms are well studied in literature, we analyze a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-25 Devesh K. Jha

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

We introduce a machine learning approach to model checking temporal logic, with application to formal hardware verification. Model checking answers the question of whether every execution of a given system satisfies a desired temporal logic…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Mirco Giacobbe , Daniel Kroening , Abhinandan Pal , Michael Tautschnig

We propose a safe exploration algorithm for deterministic Markov Decision Processes with unknown transition models. Our algorithm guarantees safety by leveraging Lipschitz-continuity to ensure that no unsafe states are visited during…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Erdem Bıyık , Jonathan Margoliash , Shahrouz Ryan Alimo , Dorsa Sadigh

Stochastic switched systems are a relevant class of stochastic hybrid systems with probabilistic evolution over a continuous domain and control-dependent discrete dynamics over a finite set of modes. In the past few years several different…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-11 Majid Zamani , Alessandro Abate , Antoine Girard
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