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When eliciting probability models from experts, knowledge engineers may compare the results of the model with expert judgment on test scenarios, then adjust model parameters to bring the behavior of the model more in line with the expert's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

Sensitivity indices when the inputs of a model are not independent are estimated by local polynomial techniques. Two original estimators based on local polynomial smoothers are proposed. Both have good theoretical properties which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Sébastien Da Veiga , François Wahl , Fabrice Gamboa

We present a new procedure for conducting a sensitivity analysis in matched observational studies. For any candidate test statistic, the approach defines tilted modifications dependent upon the proposed strength of unmeasured confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Colin B. Fogarty

To ensure reliable causal conclusions from observational (i.e., non-randomized) studies, researchers routinely conduct sensitivity analysis to assess robustness to hidden bias due to unmeasured confounding. In matched observational studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-11 Siyu Heng , Elaine K. Chiu , Hyunseung Kang

Variance-based sensitivity methods can provide insights into large computational models. We present a novel application of sensitivity analysis to the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM) a large and complex system dynamics model of the developing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Daniel Inman , Laura J. Vimmerstedt , Brian Bush , Dana Stright , Steve Peterson

Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) is the study of the influence of any given inputs on the outputs of a model. In the context of engineering design, GSA has been widely used to understand both individual and collective contributions of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-06 Yigitcan Comlek , Liwei Wang , Wei Chen

The global sensitivity analysis method, used to quantify the influence of uncertain input variables on the response variability of a numerical model, is applicable to deterministic computer code (for which the same set of input variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-08 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet , Amandine Marrel

The variance-based method of Sobol sensitivity indices is very popular among practitioners due to its efficiency and easiness of interpretation. However, for high-dimensional models the direct application of this method can be very time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-26 S. Kucherenko , S. Song

In a model of the form $Y=h(X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ where the goal is to estimate a parameter of the probability distribution of $Y$, we define new sensitivity indices which quantify the importance of each variable $X_i$ with respect to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-13 Jean-Claude Fort , Thierry Klein , Nabil Rachdi

Models of complex technological systems inherently contain interactions and dependencies among their input variables that affect their joint influence on the output. Such models are often computationally expensive and few sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Mariia Kozlova , Antti Ahola , Pamphile T. Roy , Julian Scott Yeomans

A key objective of decomposition analysis is to identify a factor (the 'mediator') contributing to disparities in an outcome between social groups. In decomposition analysis, a scholarly interest often centers on estimating how much the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-27 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee , Shujie Ma

The method of derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSM) has recently become popular among practitioners. It has a strong link with the Morris screening method and Sobol' sensitivity indices and has several advantages over them.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Serge Kucherenko , Bertrand Iooss

The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Christiane Goergen , Manuele Leonelli

We present an exact approach to analyze and quantify the sensitivity of higher moments of probabilistic loops with symbolic parameters, polynomial arithmetic and potentially uncountable state spaces. Our approach integrates methods from…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Marcel Moosbrugger , Julian Müllner , Laura Kovács

The sensitivities revealed by a sensitivity analysis of a probabilistic network typically depend on the entered evidence. For a real-life network therefore, the analysis is performed a number of times, with different evidence. Although…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

Nearly all statistical analyses that inform policy-making are based on imperfect data. As examples, the data may suffer from measurement errors, missing values, sample selection bias, or record linkage errors. Analysts have to decide how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-24 Adway S. Wadekar , Jerome P. Reiter

Many methods are available for assessing the importance of omitted variables in linear regression. These methods typically make different, non-falsifiable assumptions. Hence the data alone cannot tell us which method is most appropriate.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-05 Paul Diegert , Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-11 Friederike Schäfer , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Leif Rune Hellevik , Jacob Sturdy

Ensuring that a predictor is not biased against a sensible feature is the key of Fairness learning. Conversely, Global Sensitivity Analysis is used in numerous contexts to monitor the influence of any feature on an output variable. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Clément Bénesse , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes , Thibaut Boissin

In this paper we apply a methodology introduced in Navarro Jimenez et al (2016) in the framework of chemical reaction networks to perform a global sensitivity analysis on simulations of a continuous-time Markov chain model motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Henri Mermoz Kouye , Gildas Mazo , Clémentine Prieur , Elisabeta Vergu
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