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Dynamical system state estimation and parameter calibration problems are ubiquitous across science and engineering. Bayesian approaches to the problem are the gold standard as they allow for the quantification of uncertainties and enable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-11-12 Kairui Hao , Ilias Bilionis

We consider the problem of verifying stochastic models of biochemical networks against behavioral properties expressed in temporal logic terms. Exact probabilistic verification approaches such as, for example, CSL/PCTL model checking, are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-12-15 Paolo Ballarini , Michele Forlin , Tommaso Mazza , Davide Prandi

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Bojana V. Rosić , Anna Kučerová , Jan Sýkora , Oliver Pajonk , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

Biochemical networks play a crucial role in biological systems, implementing a broad range of vital functions. They normally operate at low copy numbers and in spatial settings, but this is often ignored and well-stirred conditions are…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-25 Thomas R. Sokolowski , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Prevalent in biomedical applications (e.g., human phenotype research), multimodal datasets can provide valuable insights into the underlying physiological mechanisms. However, current machine learning (ML) models designed to analyze these…

Successful pharmaceutical drug development requires finding correct doses that provide an optimum balance between efficacy and toxicity. Competing responses to dose such as efficacy and toxicity often will increase with dose, and it is…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-26 A. Lawrence Gould

Development of interpretable machine learning models for clinical healthcare applications has the potential of changing the way we understand, treat, and ultimately cure, diseases and disorders in many areas of medicine. These models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Qingzhu Gao , Humberto Gonzalez , Parvez Ahammad

A Profile Mixture Model is a model of protein evolution, describing sequence data in which sites are assumed to follow many related substitution processes on a single evolutionary tree. The processes depend in part on different amino acid…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-07 Samaneh Yourdkhani , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Mechanistic mathematical models of biological systems usually contain a number of unknown parameters whose values need to be estimated from available experimental data in order for the models to be validated and used to make quantitative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Yue Liu , Philip K. Maini , Ruth E. Baker

In drug discovery, predicting the absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity (ADMET) properties of small-molecule drugs is critical for ensuring safety and efficacy. However, the process of accurately predicting these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Bohao Xu , Yingzhou Lu , Chenhao Li , Ling Yue , Xiao Wang , Tianfan Fu , Minjie Shen , Lulu Chen

Simplified stochastic models are widely used in the study of frequency-resolved noise propagation in biochemical reaction networks, a common measure being the coherence between random fluctuations in molecule number trajectories. Such…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-03 Juan David Marmolejo Lozano , Nikola Popovic , Ramon Grima

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Examinations of any experiment involving living organisms require justifications of the need and moral defensibleness of the study. Statistical planning, design and sample size calculation of the experiment are no less important review…

The Linear Multistep Method Particle Filter (LMM PF) is a method for predicting the evolution in time of a evolutionary system governed by a system of differential equations. If some of the parameters of the governing equations are…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Daniela Calvetti , Salvatore Cuomo , Monica Pragliola , Erkki Somersalo , Gerardo Toraldo

This paper studies the estimation of characteristic-based quantile factor models where the factor loadings are unknown functions of observed individual characteristics while the idiosyncratic error terms are subject to conditional quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Juan Jose Dolado , Jesus Gonzalo , Haozi Pan

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

Adoptive Cell Transfer therapy of cancer is currently in full development and mathematical modeling is playing a critical role in this area. We study a stochastic model developed by Baar et al. in 2015 for modeling immunotherapy against…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Modibo Diabate , Loren Coquille , Adeline Samson

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

To comprehend complex systems with multiple states, it is imperative to reveal the identity of these states by system outputs. Nevertheless, the mathematical models describing these systems often exhibit nonlinearity so that render the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Guangtao Zhang , Yiting Duan , Guanyu Pan , Qijing Chen , Huiyu Yang , Zhikun Zhang

Heterogeneity of many building materials complicates numerical modelling of structural behaviour. The material randomicity can be manifested by different values of material parameters of each material specimen. To capture inherent…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Eliška Kočková , Anna Kučerová