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Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Shun Watanabe , Masahito Hayashi

Understanding the stability and long-time behavior of generative models is a fundamental problem in modern machine learning. This paper provides quantitative bounds on the sampling error of score-based generative models by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Stanislas Strasman , Gabriel Cardoso , Sylvain Le Corff , Vincent Lemaire , Antonio Ocello

We consider stochastic optimization problems where data is drawn from a Markov chain. Existing methods for this setting crucially rely on knowing the mixing time of the chain, which in real-world applications is usually unknown. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Ron Dorfman , Kfir Y. Levy

We revisit the source coding problem for a Markov chain under the assumption that the transmission times and how fast the Markov chain transitions its state happen at the same time-scale. Specifically, we assume that the transmission of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ismail Cosandal , Sennur Ulukus

We study Markov processes on weighted directed hypergraphs where the state of at most one vertex can change at a time. Our setting is general enough to include simplicial epidemic processes, processes on multilayered networks or even the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Dániel Keliger , Balázs Ráth

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

In this paper, we are interested in investigating the perturbation bounds for the stationary distributions for discrete-time or continuous-time Markov chains on a countable state space. For discrete-time Markov chains, two new norm-wise…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Yuanyuan Liu

A rigorous and largely self-contained account of (a) the bread-and-butter concepts and techniques in Markov chain theory and (b) the long-term behaviour of chains. As much as possible, the treatment is probabilistic instead of analytical (I…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Juan Kuntz

Missing value imputation is an important practical problem. There is a large body of work on it, but there does not exist any work that formulates the problem in a structured output setting. Also, most applications have constraints on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-11-12 Rahul Kidambi , Vinod Nair , Sundararajan Sellamanickam , S. Sathiya Keerthi

We study the convergence of random function iterations for finding an invariant measure of the corresponding Markov operator. We call the problem of finding such an invariant measure the stochastic fixed point problem. This generalizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Neal Hermer , D. Russell Luke , Anja Sturm

We consider the problem of sampling a multimodal distribution with a Markov chain given a small number of samples from the stationary measure. Although mixing can be arbitrarily slow, we show that if the Markov chain has a $k$th order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Frederic Koehler , Holden Lee , Thuy-Duong Vuong

We introduce a new interpretation of the attention matrix as a discrete-time Markov chain. Our interpretation sheds light on common operations involving attention scores such as selection, summation, and averaging in a unified framework. It…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Yotam Erel , Olaf Dünkel , Rishabh Dabral , Vladislav Golyanik , Christian Theobalt , Amit H. Bermano

We derive uniform all-time concentration bound of the type 'for all $n \geq n_0$ for some $n_0$' for TD(0) with linear function approximation. We work with online TD learning with samples from a single sample path of the underlying Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Siddharth Chandak , Vivek S. Borkar

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

Recently there is a large amount of work devoted to the study of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods (MC-SGMs) which mainly focus on their convergence analysis for solving minimization problems. In this paper, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-19 Puyu Wang , Yunwen Lei , Yiming Ying , Ding-Xuan Zhou

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for prediction- and information extraction tasks with an efficient inference scheme. It models categorical-valued time series that exhibit dynamics from multiple underlying patterns (e.g.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-21 Jan Reubold , Thorsten Strufe , Ulf Brefeld

In the present paper, we investigate the relationship between hitting times and hitting probabilities in discrete-time imprecise Markov chains (IMCs). We define lower and upper hitting times and probabilities for IMCs whose set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

We study the so-called pinning model, which describes the behavior of a Markov chain interacting with a distinguished state. The interaction depends on an external source of randomness, called disorder, which can attract or repel the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Niccolo Torri

In this paper, we study the following model of hidden Markov chain: $Y_i=X_i+\epsilon_i$, $i=1,...,n+1$ with $(X_i)$ a real-valued stationary Markov chain and $(\epsilon_i)_{1\leq i\leq n+1}$ a noise having a known distribution and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Claire Lacour

In the first part of this thesis, we study a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{R}_+$ is the non-negative real numbers and $S$ is a finite set, in which when the $\mathbb{R}_+$-coordinate is large, the $S$-coordinate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Chak Hei Lo