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While time series momentum is a well-studied phenomenon in finance, common strategies require the explicit definition of both a trend estimator and a position sizing rule. In this paper, we introduce Deep Momentum Networks -- a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In this paper we investigate to what extent long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs) are suitable for demand forecasting in the e-grocery retail sector. For this purpose, univariate as well as multivariate LSTM-based models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-20 Marta Gołąbek , Robin Senge , Rainer Neumann

This work presents a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for forecasting a monthly electricity demand time series with a one-year horizon. The novelty of this work is the use of pattern representation of the seasonal time series as an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-29 Paweł Pełka , Grzegorz Dudek

In this paper we examine the relation between market returns and volatility measures through machine learning methods in a high-frequency environment. We implement a minute-by-minute rolling window intraday estimation method using two…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Iuri H. Ferreira , Marcelo C. Medeiros

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is one of the most powerful sequence models. Despite the strong performance, however, it lacks the nice interpretability as in state space models. In this paper, we present a way to combine the best of both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Xun Zheng , Manzil Zaheer , Amr Ahmed , Yuan Wang , Eric P Xing , Alexander J Smola

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Network Traffic Matrix (TM) prediction is defined as the problem of estimating future network traffic from the previous and achieved network traffic data. It is widely used in network planning, resource management and network security. Long…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-06-12 Abdelhadi Azzouni , Guy Pujolle

The global gold market, by its fundamentals, has long been home to many financial institutions, banks, governments, funds, and micro-investors. Due to the inherent complexity and relationship between important economic and political…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hesam Taghipour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Forecasting stock market prices remains a complex challenge for traders, analysts, and engineers due to the multitude of factors that influence price movements. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and natural language…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Kaushal Attaluri , Mukesh Tripathi , Srinithi Reddy , Shivendra

In recent years, Bitcoin price prediction has attracted the interest of researchers and investors. However, the accuracy of previous studies is not well enough. Machine learning and deep learning methods have been proved to have strong…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Liping Yang

Streamflow forecasting is key to effectively managing water resources and preparing for the occurrence of natural calamities being exacerbated by climate change. Here we use the concept of fast and slow flow components to create a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Miguel Paredes Quiñones , Maciel Zortea , Leonardo S. A. Martins

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is one of the most widely used recurrent structures in sequence modeling. It aims to use gates to control information flow (e.g., whether to skip some information or not) in the recurrent computations, although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-11 Zhuohan Li , Di He , Fei Tian , Wei Chen , Tao Qin , Liwei Wang , Tie-Yan Liu

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a popular approach to boosting the ability of Recurrent Neural Networks to store longer term temporal information. The capacity of an LSTM network can be increased by widening and adding layers. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-14 Zhen He , Shaobing Gao , Liang Xiao , Daxue Liu , Hangen He , David Barber

We propose a novel supervised learning technique for summarizing videos by automatically selecting keyframes or key subshots. Casting the problem as a structured prediction problem on sequential data, our main idea is to use Long Short-Term…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-08-01 Ke Zhang , Wei-Lun Chao , Fei Sha , Kristen Grauman

Modeling the evolution of user preference is essential in recommender systems. Recently, dynamic graph-based methods have been studied and achieved SOTA for recommendation, majority of which focus on user's stable long-term preference.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Huixuan Chi , Hao Xu , Hao Fu , Mengya Liu , Mengdi Zhang , Yuji Yang , Qinfen Hao , Wei Wu

In the peer to peer (P2P) lending platform, investors hope to maximize their return while minimizing the risk through a comprehensive understanding of the P2P market. A low and stable average default rate across all the borrowers denotes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-11 Yan Wang , Xuelei Sherry Ni

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hongzhi Wang , Yang Song , Shihan Tang

In recent fast-paced financial markets, investors constantly seek ways to gain an edge and make informed decisions. Although achieving perfect accuracy in stock price predictions remains elusive, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Jue Xiao , Tingting Deng , Shuochen Bi