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Why do household saving rates differ so much across countries? This micro-level question has global implications: countries that systematically "oversave" export capital by running current account surpluses. In the recipient countries,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-03 Mark S. Manger , J. Scott Matthews

We present a class of inequality constraints on the set of distributions induced by local interventions on variables governed by a causal Bayesian network, in which some of the variables remain unmeasured. We derive bounds on causal effects…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Changsung Kang , Jin Tian

Political systems shape institutions and govern institutional change supporting economic performance, production and diffusion of technological innovation. This study shows, using global data of countries, that institutional change, based…

General Economics · Economics 2020-01-24 Mario Coccia

Urban outputs, from economy to innovation, are known to grow as a power of a city's population. But, since large cities tend to be central in transportation and communication networks, the effects attributed to city size may be confounded…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-24 Xiaofan Liang , César A. Hidalgo , Pierre-Alexandre Balland , Siqi Zheng , Jianghao Wang

Opportunities, such as access to education or family background, shape income inequality by influencing the chances of economic success. Unequal opportunities create uncertainty about whether success is merit- or luck-based. We examine how…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-03 Marcel Preuss , Germán Reyes , Jason Somerville , Joy Wu

A large body of literature in economics and political science examines the impact of democracy and political freedoms on various outcomes using cross-country comparisons. This paper explores the possibility that any positive impact of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-12 Ziho Park

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

Decentralised government levels are often entrusted with the management of public works and required to ensure well-timed infrastructure delivery to their communities. We investigate whether monitoring the activity of local procuring…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-22 Giuseppe Francesco Gori , Patrizia Lattarulo , Marco Mariani

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Ibtihal Ferwana , Suyoung Park , Ting-Yi Wu , Lav R. Varshney

This paper examines the dynamic behavior of city size using a distribution dynamics approach with Chinese city data for the period 1984-2010. Instead of convergence, divergence or paralleled growth, multimodality and persistence are the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-01 Jian-Xin Wu , Ling-Yun He

Imputation methods play a critical role in enhancing the quality of practical time-series data, which often suffer from pervasive missing values. Recently, diffusion-based generative imputation methods have demonstrated remarkable success…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Zeqi Ye , Minshuo Chen

In this paper, we empirically analyze the spatial distribution of Chinese cities using a method based on triangle transition. This method uses a regular triangle mapping from the observed cities and its three neighboring cities to analyze…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-01-03 Pan Liu , Xiao-Pu Han , Linyuan Lü

The Chinese approach to developing a world-class science system includes a vigorous set of programmes to attract back Chinese researchers who have overseas training and work experience. No analysis is available to show the performance of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Cong Cao , Jeroen Baas , Caroline S. Wagner , Koen Jonkers

This paper studies a preference evolution model in which a population of agents are matched to play a sequential prisoner's dilemma in an incomplete information environment. An institution can design an incentive-compatible screening…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-07 Ethan Holdahl , Jiabin Wu

The growth of Chinese Interpreting Studies (CIS) has been robust over the past two decades; this is reflected in the total number of research papers produced. This paper takes a scientometric approach to assessing the production, themes and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-06-01 Ziyun Xu

This paper examines the effects of institutional quality on financing choice of individual using a large dataset of 137,160 people from 131 countries. We classify borrowing activities into three categories, including formal, constructive…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-20 Lan Chu Khanh

Causality lays the foundation for the trajectory of our world. Causal inference (CI), which aims to infer intrinsic causal relations among variables of interest, has emerged as a crucial research topic. Nevertheless, the lack of observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Yaochen Zhu , Yinhan He , Jing Ma , Mengxuan Hu , Sheng Li , Jundong Li

The urban-rural consumption gap, as one of the important indicators in social development, directly reflects the imbalance in urban and rural economic and social development. Data elements, as an important component of New Quality…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-05 Mingpu Ma

This paper aims to explore the application of machine learning in forecasting Chinese macroeconomic variables. Specifically, it employs various machine learning models to predict the quarterly real GDP growth of China, and analyzes the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-08 Yanqing Yang , Xingcheng Xu , Jinfeng Ge , Yan Xu

This paper examines the distribution dynamics of carbon dioxide (CO2) emission intensity across 30 Chinese provinces using a weighted distribution dynamics approach. The results show that CO2 emission intensity tends to diverge during the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-09 Jian-Xin Wu , Ling-Yun He
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