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The advent of deep learning and recurrent neural networks revolutionized the field of time-series processing. Therefore, recent research on spectrum prediction has focused on the use of these tools. However, spectrum prediction, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Vincent Corlay , Tatsuya Nakazato , Kanako Yamaguchi , Akinori Nakajima

This paper presents a parametric estimation method for ill-observed linear stationary Hawkes processes. When the exact locations of points are not observed, but only counts over time intervals of fixed size, methods based on the likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-11 Felix Cheysson , Gabriel Lang

Irregular sampling occurs in many time series modeling applications where it presents a significant challenge to standard deep learning models. This work is motivated by the analysis of physiological time series data in electronic health…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

This paper studies a distributed state estimation problem for both continuous- and discrete-time linear systems. A simply structured distributed estimator (comprising interconnected local estimators) is first described for estimating the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Lili Wang , Ji Liu , Brian B. O. Anderson , A. Stephen Morse

We propose a data-driven method to learn the time-dependent probability density of a multivariate stochastic process from sample paths, assuming that the initial probability density is known and can be evaluated. Our method uses a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-19 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Javier Murgoitio-Esandi , Ali Fardisi , Assad A Oberai

Wireless communications systems are impacted by multi-path fading and Doppler shift in dynamic environments, where the channel becomes doubly-dispersive and its estimation becomes an arduous task. Only a few pilots are used for channel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Abdul Karim Gizzini , Marwa Chafii

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving and robotics. While existing point-based and grid-based methods expose two main limitations: insufficiently modeling human motion dynamics, as they fail to balance local…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Yanghong Liu , Xingping Dong , Ming Li , Weixing Zhang , Yidong Lou

Higher-order spectra (or polyspectra), defined as the Fourier Transform of a stationary process' autocumulants, are useful in the analysis of nonlinear and non Gaussian processes. Polyspectral means are weighted averages over Fourier…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Tucker McElroy , Soumendra Lahiri

Many scientific problems involve data exhibiting both temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. While linear dependencies have been extensively studied, the theoretical analysis of regression estimators under nonlinear dependencies remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Marie-Christine Düker , Adam Waterbury

We present a novel attention-based model for discrete event data to capture complex non-linear temporal dependence structures. We borrow the idea from the attention mechanism and incorporate it into the point processes' conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-23 Shixiang Zhu , Minghe Zhang , Ruyi Ding , Yao Xie

Nonlinear systems are capable of displaying complex behavior even if this is the result of a small number of interacting time scales. A widely studied case is when complex dynamics emerges out of a nonlinear system being forced by a simple…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-01 Leandro M. Alonso

In target tracking, the estimation of an unknown weaving target frequency is crucial for improving the miss distance. The estimation process is commonly carried out in a Kalman framework. The objective of this paper is to examine the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Vitaly Shalumov , Itzik Klein

Improved performance in higher-order spectral density estimation is achieved using a general class of infinite-order kernels. These estimates are asymptotically less biased but with the same order of variance as compared to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arthur Berg , Dimitris Politis

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

In this paper we consider point processes specified on directed linear networks, i.e. linear networks with associated directions. We adapt the so-called conditional intensity function used for specifying point processes on the time line to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Jakob G. Rasmussen , Heidi S. Christensen

While Internet of Things (IoT) devices and sensors create continuous streams of information, Big Data infrastructures are deemed to handle the influx of data in real-time. One type of such a continuous stream of information is time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-05 Elyas Sabeti , Peter X. K. Song , Alfred O. Hero

Deep learning-based sequence models are extensively employed in Time Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) tasks due to their effective sequential modeling capabilities. However, the ability of TSAD is limited by two key challenges: (i) the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Junqi Chen , Xu Tan , Sylwan Rahardja , Jiawei Yang , Susanto Rahardja

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

Particle filters flexibly represent multiple posterior modes nonparametrically, via a collection of weighted samples, but have classically been applied to tracking problems with known dynamics and observation likelihoods. Such generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Ali Younis , Erik Sudderth