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For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

We introduce a new concept of approximation applicable to decision problems and functions, inspired by Bayesian probability. From the perspective of a Bayesian reasoner with limited computational resources, the answer to a problem that…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Vanessa Kosoy , Alexander Appel

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

We give a rigorous treatment on the foundation of the first order asymptotic theory of quantum estimation, with tractable and reasonable regularity conditions. Different from past works, we do not use Fisher information nor MLE, and an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-05-27 Keiji Matsumoto

For a general c\`adl\`ag L\'evy process on a separable Banach space $V$ we estimate values of $\inf_{Y\in{\cal A}_X} \mathbb{E}\left\{ \psi\left( \Vert X - Y \Vert_\infty\right) + \mathrm{TV}(Y[0,T]) \right\}$, where ${\cal A}_X$ is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 W. M. Bednorz , Rafał M. Łochowski , R. Martynek

Using Bayesian experimental design techniques, we have shown that for a single two-level quantum mechanical system under strong (projective) measurement, the dynamical parameters of a model Hamiltonian can be estimated with exponentially…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory

We address estimation of parametric coefficients of a pure-jump L\'evy driven univariate stochastic differential equation (SDE) model, which is observed at high frequency over a fixed time period. It is known from the previous study Masuda…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Hiroki Masuda

We construct intrinsic on-and off-diagonal upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in small time. By intrinsic we mean that such estimates reflect the structure of the characteristic exponent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-09 Victoria Knopova , Alexei Kulik

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

The L\'evy-Ciesielski Construction of Brownian motion is used to determine non-asymptotic estimates for the maximal deviation of increments of a Brownian motion process $(W_{t})_{t\in \left[ 0,T\right] }$ normalized by the global modulus…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Vladimir Dobric , Lisa Marano

In sequential change detection, existing performance measures differ significantly in the way they treat the time of change. By modeling this quantity as a random time, we introduce a general framework capable of capturing and better…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 George V. Moustakides

Considering the paradigmatic driven Brownian motion, we perform extensive numerical analysis on the performance of optimal linear-response processes far from equilibrium. We focus on the overdamped regime where exact optimal processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-28 Lucas P. Kamizaki , Marcus V. S. Bonança , Sérgio R. muniz

We introduce the notion of relative volatility/intermittency and demonstrate how relative volatility statistics can be used to estimate consistently the temporal variation of volatility/intermittency when the data of interest are generated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Jürgen Schmiegel

The isoperimetric inequalities for the expected lifetime of Brownian motion state that the $L^p$-norms of the expected lifetime in a bounded domain for $1\leq p\leq \infty$ are maximized when the region is a ball with the same volume. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Daesung Kim

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

Given a spectrally negative L\'evy process, we predict, in a $L_1$ sense, the last passage time of the process below zero before an independent exponential time. This optimal prediction problem generalises Baurdoux and Pedraza (2020) where…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-11 Erik J. Baurdoux , José M. Pedraza

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang