English
Related papers

Related papers: Maximum likelihood estimation in the non-ergodic f…

200 papers

This article deals with parameterisation, identifiability, and maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of possibly non-invertible structural vector autoregressive moving average (SVARMA) models driven by independent and non-Gaussian shocks. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Bernd Funovits

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation driven by additive space-time Gaussian white noise. The damping/amplification operator is allowed to be unbounded. The estimator is of spectral type…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 W. Liu , S. V. Lototsky

Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for probability distributions of functionals of solutions to stochastic differential equations is an important stochastic modeling issue in many applications. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

We present an innovating sensitivity analysis for stochastic differential equations: We study the sensitivity, when the Hurst parameter~$H$ of the driving fractional Brownian motion tends to the pure Brownian value, of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

In this paper, we study the recovery of the Hurst parameter from a given discrete sample of fractional Brownian motion with statistical inverse theory. In particular, we show that in the limit the posteriori distribution of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Lassi Päivärinta , Petteri Piiroinen

Using stochastic gradient search and the optimal filter derivative, it is possible to perform recursive (i.e., online) maximum likelihood estimation in a non-linear state-space model. As the optimal filter and its derivative are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

In some non-regular statistical estimation problems, the limiting likelihood processes are functionals of fractional Brownian motion (fBm) with Hurst's parameter H; 0 < H <=? 1. In this paper we present several analytical and numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-06 Alexander Novikov , Nino Kordzakhia , Timothy Ling

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

In the paper, we address parametric and non-parametric estimation for nonlinear stochastic differential equations with additive Hermite noise with possibly nonlinear scaling. We assume that a single trajectory of the solution is observed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Petr Coupek , Pavel Kriz

A class of Gaussian processes generalizing the usual fractional Brownian motion for Hurst indices in (1/2,1) and multifractal Brownian motion introduced in Ralchenko and Shevchenko (Theory Probab Math Stat 80, 2010) and Boufoussi et al.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-08 Jelena Ryvkina

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

This paper is concerned with the maximum principle of stochastic optimal control problems, where the coefficients of the state equation and the cost functional are uncertain, and the system is generally under Markovian regime switching.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Tao Hao , Jiaqiang Wen , Jie Xiong

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the Hurst exponent of the fractional Brownian motion from continuous time noisy sample. Consistent estimation in the setup under consideration is possible only if either the length of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-09 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna

A 2D Stochastic incompressible non-Newtonian fluids driven by fractional Bronwnian motion with Hurst parameter $H \in (1/2,1)$ is studied. The Wiener-type stochastic integrals are introduced for infinite-dimensional fractional Brownian…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-07-15 Jin Li , Jianhua Huang