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We propose a fast and scalable optimization method to solve chance or probabilistic constrained optimization problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random parameters. To address the critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

Modeling data obtained from dynamical systems has gained attention in recent years as a challenging task for machine learning models. Previous approaches assume the measurements to be distributed on a grid. However, for real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Paul Heinisch , Andrzej Dulny , Anna Krause , Andreas Hotho

The derivation of dynamical laws for general observables (or moments) from the master equation for the probability distribution remains a challenging problem in statistical physics. Here, we present an alternative formulation of the general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Gianni Valerio Vinci , Roberto Benzi , Maurizio Mattia

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generating samples from unknown data distributions. Most popular stochastic differential equation-based diffusion models perturb the target distribution by adding Gaussian noise,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Wenpin Tang , Nizar Touzi , Zikun Zhang , Xun Yu Zhou

Stochastic Taylor expansions of the expectation of functionals applied to diffusion processes which are solutions of stochastic differential equation systems are introduced. Taylor formulas w.r.t. increments of the time are presented for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Andreas Rößler

In this paper, we prove convergence rates for time discretisation schemes for semi-linear stochastic evolution equations with additive or multiplicative Gaussian noise, where the leading operator $A$ is the generator of a strongly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Katharina Klioba , Mark Veraar

Stochastic filtering refers to estimating the probability distribution of the latent stochastic process conditioned on the observed measurements in time. In this paper, we introduce a new class of convergent filters that represent the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-27 Zheng Zhao , Juha Sarmavuori

This paper focuses on deriving optimal-order full moment error estimates in strong norms for both velocity and pressure approximations in the Euler-Maruyama time discretization of the stochastic Navier-Stokes equations with multiplicative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Xiaobing Feng , Liet Vo

We propose a new extension of Kalman filtering for continuous-discrete systems with nonlinear state-space models that we name as the level set Kalman filter (LSKF). The LSKF assumes the probability distribution can be approximated as a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-14 Ningyuan Wang , Daniel B. Forger

This note is about a drift-diffusion process $X$ with a time-independent, divergence-free drift $b$, where $b$ is a smooth Gaussian field that decorrelates over large scales. In two space dimensions, this just fails to fall into the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Peter Morfe , Felix Otto , Christian Wagner

This paper proposes a probabilistic approach to the problem of intrinsic filtering of a system on a matrix Lie group with invariance properties. The problem of an invariant continuous-time model with discrete-time measurements is cast into…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-22 Axel Barrau , Silvere Bonnabel

We solve the time evolution of a nonlinear optomechanical Hamiltonian with arbitrary time-dependent mechanical displacement, mechanical single-mode squeezing and a time-dependent optomechanical coupling up to the solution of two…

Stochastic approximation (SA) is an iterative algorithm for finding the fixed point of an operator using noisy samples and widely used in optimization and Reinforcement Learning (RL). The noise in RL exhibits a Markovian structure, and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Shaan Ul Haque , Sajad Khodadadian , Siva Theja Maguluri

We derive the stochastic version of the Magnus expansion for linear systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). The main novelty with respect to the related literature is that we consider SDEs in the It\^o sense, with progressively…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Kevin Kamm , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

In this paper, by employing the asymptotic expansion method, we prove the existence and uniqueness of a smoothing solution for a time-dependent nonlinear singularly perturbed partial differential equation (PDE) with a small-scale parameter.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Dmitrii Chaikovskii , Ye Zhang

Consider the following stochastic differential equation driven by multiplicative noise on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a superlinearly growing drift coefficient, \begin{align*} \mathrm{d} X_t = b (X_t) \, \mathrm{d} t + \sigma (X_t) \, \mathrm{d}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xiang Li , Yingjun Mo , Haoran Yang

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

As a rigorous statistical approach, statistical Taylor expansion extends the conventional Taylor expansion by replacing precise input variables with random variables of known distributions and sample counts to compute the mean, the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Chengpu Wang

Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) are fundamental tools in statistical and data sciences. We study the moments of multivariate Gaussians and GMMs. The $d$-th moment of an $n$-dimensional random variable is a symmetric $d$-way tensor of size…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-23 João M. Pereira , Joe Kileel , Tamara G. Kolda

Moment approximation methods are gaining increasing attention for their use in the approximation of the stochastic kinetics of chemical reaction systems. In this paper we derive a general moment expansion method for any type of propensities…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Angelique Ale , Paul Kirk , Michael P. P. Stumpf